Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca B1 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday


	Artsul		Pérolas Negras

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3.1
	2.18	3	3.2
	2.2	2.88	3.29
	2.2	3.05	3.28	Watch
	2.16	3.05	3.25
	2.18	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.93)	2.99 ↓ (3.3)	3.22 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Artsul
41.5%

Draw
30.4%

Pérolas Negras
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

27.5%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

26.5%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Artsul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Artsul's form might have worsened.

Pérolas Negras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Artsul than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Artsul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pérolas Negras than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Artsul - Pérolas Negras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Abner ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, Badio S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Artsul FC
Brazilian Carioca B1
16.11.24	Pérolas Negras - Artsul	1:2 ✺
12.11.24	São Gonçalo - Artsul	0:1 ✺
06.11.24	Artsul - Belford Roxo	4:0 ✺
26.10.24	Friburguense - Artsul	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Artsul - São Cristóvão	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLW
- Pérolas Negras
Brazilian Carioca B1
16.11.24	Pérolas Negras - Artsul	1:2 ✺
12.11.24	Pérolas Negras - São Cristóvão	1:0 ✺
06.11.24	Serrano FC - Pérolas Negras	2:2 ✺
02.11.24	Pérolas Negras - Paduano	0:1 ✺
23.10.24	Nova Cidade - Pérolas Negras	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca B1
16.11.24	Pérolas Negras - Artsul	1:2
28.09.24	Pérolas Negras - Artsul	0:1

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