Match Info

Date: 6 September 2022, Tuesday

Referee: Gilabert F. (Chi)


	Arturo Fernández Vial		Deportes Magallanes

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.95	2.3
	3.25	2.8	2.14
	3	3	2.27
	3.33	3	2.32
	3.2	2.9	2.2
	3.18	3.18	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.26)	2.97 ↓ (2.98)	2.24 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arturo Fernández Vial
28.9%

Draw
30.6%

Deportes Magallanes
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

30.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

30.2%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arturo Fernández Vial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arturo Fernández Vial than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	38.9%	33.3%

Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Magallanes Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Fernandez Vial will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Magallanes will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.4% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Segunda Division and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division).

Arturo Fernández Vial is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Magallanes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Magallanes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Magallanes will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arturo Fernández Vial won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Arturo Fernández Vial won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arturo Fernández Vial
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
29.08.22	Arturo Fernández Vial - Santiago Morning	0:1 ✺
21.08.22	Deportes Iquique - Arturo Fernández Vial	0:0 ✺
13.08.22	Arturo Fernández Vial - Universidad de Concepción	2:3 ✺
07.08.22	Santiago Wanderers - Arturo Fernández Vial	2:2 ✺
31.07.22	Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Temuco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTLTT
- Deportes Magallanes
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
30.08.22	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Temuco	1:0 ✺
24.08.22	Barnechea - Deportes Magallanes	3:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
20.08.22	Deportes Magallanes - Universidad de Concepción	4:1 ✺
16.08.22	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Magallanes	0:2 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
12.08.22	Deportes Magallanes - Santiago Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
21.04.22	Deportes Magallanes - Arturo Fernández Vial	2:1
16.10.21	Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Magallanes	0:1
15.07.21	Deportes Magallanes - Arturo Fernández Vial	2:1

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