The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Magallanes 49.6%
Draw 28%
Universidad de Concepción 22.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.2%
30.2%
35.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
29.8%
36.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Magallanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Magallanes's performance.
Universidad de Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad de Concepción might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (-15.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Magallanes that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad de Concepción could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportes Magallanes - Universidad de Concepción Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Bernatene M. (G) 2. Figueroa D. 3. Walters A. 4. Vasquez M. 6. Alucema G. 8. Vicuna M. 10. Aranguiz T. 11. Valenzuela C. 14. Valdez B. 18. Toledo A. 26. Munoz C.
17. Campestrini C. (G) 3. Meza I. 7. Molina S. 8. Romo J. 11. Gonzalez I. 10. Fuentealba J. 14. Medina C. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 16. Ogaz B. 18. Ubal B. 28. Herrera I.
Substitutes
30. Abarca Antil F. A. 38. Conelli V. 31. Gonzalez M. 33. Gonzalez V. 7. Lezcano G. 1. Martinic A. (G) 17. Ortega F.
2. Bejar L. 21. Benitez F. 6. Cordero R. 20. Molina L. 19. Olivares Alvarez R. I. 22. Rojas L. 13. Sanhueza J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Conelli V. ⚽,
36', Ubal B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Bejar L. ↓, Romo J. ↑,
62', Benitez F. ↓, Fuentealba J. ↑,
62', Molina L. ↓, Molina S. ↑,
66', Bernatene M. 🟨,
69', Herrera I. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
71', Barria A. ↓, Sabella A. ↑,
71', Toledo A. ↓, Berrios E. ↑,
74', Ogaz B. ↓, Cordero R. ↑,
74', Morales Olivares M. G. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
74', Conelli V. ↓, Munoz C. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Medina C. ⚽,
82', Ortega F. ↓, Lezcano G. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Gonzalez I. ⚽,
90+4', Berrios E. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 1.
Magallanes is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Uni de Concepción has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Magallanes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Magallanes will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.7:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Magallanes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).
Watch
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Bernatene M. (G) 
Figueroa D. 
Valdez B. 
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