The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Iquique 40.1%
Draw 29.7%
Arturo Fernández Vial 30.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.4%
28.7%
24.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
27.1%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Iquique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Iquique's form might have worsened.
Arturo Fernández Vial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arturo Fernández Vial's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Iquique, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arturo Fernández Vial than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arturo Fernández Vial, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Deportes Iquique will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Fernandez Vial will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fernandez Vial: 42.8% – 90.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Segunda Division).
Both teams are in bad shape now.
Deportes Iquique could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Deportes Iquique will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Deportes Iquique won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Iquique won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.