Match Info

UGANDA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 12

Date: 20 December 2023, Wednesday


	Arua Hill		Maroons

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.55
	4.9	3.6	1.62
	5	3.7	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↑ (4.56)	3.6 ↓ (3.75)	1.59 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arua Hill
18.4%

Draw
25%

Maroons
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

24.3%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

23.3%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arua Hill has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Maroons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arua Hill than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maroons than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shukuru H. 10. Gadafi W. (C) 28. Jafari K. 11. Kawawa R. 6. Mafabi Y. 2. Mandela N. 19. Mansoor S. 4. Musa I. 21. Oloro N. 30. Omirambe B. 26. Rogers J.	24. Sebwalunyo H. (G) 7. Amaku F. 15. Bayiga P. 27. Biyika I. 10. Eturude A. 2. Kabona E. 21. Kitagenda G. 13. Ndihabwe D. (C) 26. Ojok D. 8. Orombi R. 11. Tusubira A.
Substitutes
9. Kalanda F. 5. Makutum Y. 12. Moro S. 27. Wonlok S.	23. Kajubi Mpagi I. 29. Mpanga S. 1. Nalugoda A. (G) 9. Nasasira N. 18. Ogama B. 6. Okot F. 22. Rukundo D.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Arua Hill is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Maroons is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maroons could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Maroons is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arua Hill won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Arua Hill won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arua Hill SC
Ugandan Super League
10.12.23	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Arua Hill	4:1 ✺
05.12.23	Arua Hill - Wakiso Giants	2:2 ✺
30.11.23	Bright Stars - Arua Hill	3:1 ✺
24.11.23	Arua Hill - UPDF	2:0 ✺
09.11.23	Villa - Arua Hill	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLWL
- Maroons FC
Ugandan Super League
13.12.23	Maroons - Vipers	1:1 ✺
06.12.23	Busoga United - Maroons	1:1 ✺
02.12.23	Maroons - Mbarara City	1:0 ✺
24.11.23	Express - Maroons	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Maroons - NEC FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
21.03.23	Maroons - Arua Hill	2:0
22.10.22	Arua Hill - Maroons	3:1

Arua Hill - Maroons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide