Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de O Couto (Ourense) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Broncano Suarez V. M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	18:45	Footballclub


	UD Ourense		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.10	2.20
	3.00	3.00	2.15
	4.00	3.30	1.77
	3.36	3.15	2.30
	3.3	3.08	2.27	Watch
	3.30	2.90	2.20
	3.19	3.19	2.26
	3.05	3.15	2.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (3.14)	3.11 ↓ (3.23)	2.17 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

UD Ourense
28%

Draw
29.6%

Barakaldo
42.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29%

28.2%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

27.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

UD Ourense - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vizoso M. (G) 19. Pardo S. 4. Labrada J. 5. Puime L. 3. Cabrera J. 17. Dominguez X. 14. Champi (C) 22. Tejon D. 16. Bastida A. 10. Ferreiro D. 11. Baldrich S.	13. Campos G. (G) 22. Calera S. 4. Marotias O. 18. Gomez B. 3. Zoilo A. 15. Jimenez I. 8. Huidobro J. (C) 14. Collado U. 21. Fernandez X. 27. Mateos E. 9. Sola X.
Substitutes
18. Carro C. 23. Curras R. 7. Gandarillas M. 6. Gonzalez N. 21. Irazu I. 24. Jansonas R. 13. Rielo B. (G) 8. Rivelott Curro 26. Varela M. 2. Varo	7. Cabo J. 1. Ispizua I. (G) 11. Mattheus C. 5. Muguruza A. 20. Okolo 10. Pena A. 26. Ruiz M. 28. Uruena A.
Coaches
Carballo J.	de la Sota Aberasturi I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Zoilo A. 🟨,
32', Gomez B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Baldrich S. ⚽, Pardo S. (A),
56', Mateos E. ↓, Cabo J. ↑,
56', Huidobro J. ↓, Pena A. ↑,
58', Dominguez X. ↓, Carro C. ↑,
60', Baldrich S. 🟨,
69', Sola X. ↓, Okolo ↑,
69', Fernandez X. ↓, Mattheus C. ↑,
75', Ferreiro D. ↓, Gonzalez N. ↑,
82', Bastida A. 🟨,
82', Gomez B. ↓, Muguruza A. ↑,
84', Champi ↓, Curras R. ↑,
84', Baldrich S. ↓, Jansonas R. ↑,
90+1', Cabrera J. 🟨,
90+4', Pardo S. 🟨,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 19th in the Relegation and 16th in the Relegation).

Recent results have been tough for UD Ourense (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Barakaldo have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Barakaldo is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Barakaldo	9	2	4	3	8:10	-2	10
19	UD Ourense	9	1	2	6	3:15	-12	5

Last Results with these Odds

Barakaldo - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 42.75%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ourense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.10.26	Real Unión de Irun - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	UD Ourense - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - UD Ourense	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	UD Ourense - UD Logroñés	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Mirandés - UD Ourense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTLLL
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.10.26	Barakaldo - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Barakaldo - Real Avilés	3:3 ✺
19.09.26	Ferrol - Barakaldo	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Barakaldo - CD Extremadura	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Coria - Barakaldo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TTLWL

Upcoming Matches