Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Ascoli		Bra

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.28	4.6	9
	1.26	4.95	11
	1.28	5.09	11.92
	1.00	13.29	25.00	Watch
	1.25	4.65	12	Watch
	1.28	4.6	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.58)	6.2 ↑ (3.6)	13.09 ↑ (5.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
77.4%

Draw
15.3%

Bra
7.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

25.5%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

23.5%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ascoli's performance.

Bra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ascoli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bra than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ascoli - Bra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitale S. (G) 23. Alagna M. 30. Curado M. 3. Nicoletti M. 17. Guiebre A. 4. Damiani S. 62. Milanese T. 7. Silipo A. 25. Rizzo Pinna A. 15. D'Uffizi S. 35. Gori G.	22. Renzetti D. (G) 31. De Santis E. 6. Sganzerla R. 20. Morleo U. 72. Cucciniello F. P. 47. La Marca M. 77. Brambilla A. 8. Tuzza S. (C) 10. Pautassi M. 21. Minaj E. 11. Sinani I.
Substitutes
24. Bando A. 46. Barosi D. (G) 41. Brzan R. (G) 9. Chakir M. A. 18. Corazza S. 80. Corradini G. 27. Cozzoli F. 19. Menna D. 11. Oviszach E. 2. Pagliai G. 29. Palazzino F. 33. Rizzo N.	92. Baldini E. 4. Cannistra P. 80. Chiabotto V. 99. Chianese A. 5. Chiesa D. 9. Di Biase G. 28. Dimatteo S. 1. Franzini D. (G) 37. Gagliotti 14. Lionetti G. 55. Nesci A. 36. Rabuffi M. 3. Rottensteiner B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', Pautassi M. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Rizzo Pinna A. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, Gori G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', Brambilla A. ↓, Dimatteo S. ↑,
52', La Marca M. ↓, Chiabotto V. ↑,
53', 3 - 0, D'Uffizi S. ⚽,
59', 4 - 0, Gori G. (Pen),
64', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
64', Gori G. ↓, Corazza S. ↑,
75', Milanese T. ↓, Oviszach E. ↑,
75', D'Uffizi S. ↓, Corradini G. ↑,
80', De Santis E. ↓, Rottensteiner B. ↑,
80', Morleo U. ↓, Rabuffi M. ↑,
83', Guiebre A. ↓, Menna D. ↑,
90+4', 4 - 1, Chiabotto V. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Ascoli has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bra is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ascoli is the undeniable favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
27.09.25	Sassari Torres - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
23.09.25	Ascoli - Pineto	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Livorno - Ascoli	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Perugia - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Ascoli - Juventus U23	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWWT
- AC Bra
Italian Serie C Group B
27.09.25	Bra - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1 ✺
23.09.25	Bra - Livorno	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Gubbio - Bra	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Bra - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Ravenna - Bra	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLTL

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