The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bra 26.8%
Draw 30.5%
Guidonia Montecelio 42.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.5%
29.4%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.8%
28.8%
41%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Guidonia Montecelio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bra than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Bra - Guidonia Montecelio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Renzetti D. (G) 72. Cucciniello F. P. 31. De Santis E. 6. Sganzerla R. 14. Lionetti G. 77. Brambilla A. 47. La Marca M. 10. Pautassi M. (C) 9. Di Biase G. 92. Baldini E. 11. Sinani I.
12. Mazzi G. (G) 2. Esempio S. 5. Cristini A. 6. Malomo A. 77. Zappella D. 7. Sannipoli D. 14. Santoro S. 21. Mastrantonio V. 8. Errico A. 10. Spavone A. 90. Bernardotto G.
Substitutes
27. Campedelli R. 4. Cannistra P. 99. Chianese A. 5. Chiesa D. 25. Corsi L. 28. Dimatteo S. 1. Franzini D. (G) 21. Minaj E. 20. Morleo U. 55. Nesci A. 36. Rabuffi M. 3. Rottensteiner B. 19. Sammouni R. 8. Tuzza S.
9. Cali A. 18. Calzone S. 20. Falleni A. 80. Franchini S. 11. Marchioro R. 22. Mastrangelo E. (G) 13. Mule E. 50. Ruggiero F. (G) 24. Russo L. 17. Stefanelli F. 33. Tascone S. 99. Tessiore A. 32. Zuppel D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Sannipoli D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Cucciniello F. P. ↓, Chiesa D. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Bernardotto G. ⚽,
59', Spavone A. ↓, Zuppel D. ↑,
59', Bernardotto G. ↓, Cali A. ↑,
62', Di Biase G. ↓, Minaj E. ↑,
62', Lionetti G. ↓, Tuzza S. ↑,
70', Sannipoli D. ↓, Tessiore A. ↑,
72', Esempio S. 🟨,
78', Baldini E. ↓, Morleo U. ↑,
82', Mastrantonio V. ↓, Franchini S. ↑,
90+1', Franchini S. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Sinani I. ⚽,
90+3', La Marca M. ↓, Cannistra P. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 1, Sinani I. ⚽,
90+7', Sinani I. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
Bra is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Guidonia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Bra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Guidonia could have a small edge in this match.
The teams have not played against each other recently.