Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 16

Date: 1 December 2025, Monday

Location: Tonino Benelli (Pesaro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena


	Vis Pesaro		Ascoli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.05	2.12
	3.48	3.05	2.24
	3.57	3.10	2.11	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.15
	3.19	3.19	2.26	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (3.52)	3.07 ↑ (3)	2.18 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vis Pesaro
27.7%

Draw
30.1%

Ascoli
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

30.4%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

27.5%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vis Pesaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	57.1%	42.9%

Vis Pesaro - Ascoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ascoli (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pozzi A. (G) 13. Primasso A. 4. Bove D. 6. Di Renzo G. 15. Ceccacci M. 24. Berengo N. 7. Pucciarelli M. 21. Vezzoni F. 17. Paganini L. 10. Di Paola M. 11. Stabile D. P.	1. Vitale S. (G) 2. Pagliai G. 30. Curado M. 23. Alagna M. 17. Guiebre A. 62. Milanese T. 4. Damiani S. 7. Silipo A. 25. Rizzo Pinna A. 15. D'Uffizi S. 35. Gori G.
Substitutes
77. Ascione S. 30. Beghetto A. 33. Bocs R. 19. Ferrari T. 72. Franchetti Rosada L. 22. Fratti D. (G) 20. Giovannini R. 16. Guarnone A. (G) 28. Machin J. 55. Mariani E. 9. Nicastro F. 8. Nina C.	24. Bando A. 46. Barosi D. (G) 41. Brzan R. (G) 80. Corradini G. 27. Cozzoli F. 19. Menna D. 6. Ndoj E. 11. Oviszach E. 29. Palazzino F. 60. Zagari R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Vezzoni F. ⚽,
44', Ceccacci M. 🟨,
45+3', Guiebre A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Milanese T. ↓, Ndoj E. ↑,
59', D'Uffizi S. ↓, Oviszach E. ↑,
59', Silipo A. ↓, Palazzino F. ↑,
68', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Corradini G. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Ndoj E. ⚽,
77', Pucciarelli M. ↓, Giovannini R. ↑,
79', Vezzoni F. 🟨,
81', Corradini G. 🟨,
89', Damiani S. ↓, Bando A. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).

In recent matches, Vis Pesaro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ascoli has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ascoli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ascoli is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vis Pesaro won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Vis Pesaro won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
24.11.25	Perugia - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Vis Pesaro - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Ternana - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Vis Pesaro - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Bra - Vis Pesaro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWTWT
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
23.11.25	Ascoli - Arezzo	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Rimini - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Ascoli - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Ravenna - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Sambenedettese - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
30.03.25	Ascoli - Vis Pesaro	0:0
15.11.24	Vis Pesaro - Ascoli	1:1
Club Friendly
06.09.20	Vis Pesaro - Ascoli	1:1
08.09.18	Vis Pesaro - Ascoli	1:1

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