Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 18

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Citta dell Aria (Guidonia Montecelio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Guidonia Montecelio		Ascoli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	2.88	2.22
	3.72	2.94	2.2
	3.34	2.99	2.21	Watch
	3.4	2.9	2.05
	3.37	3.26	2.14	Watch
	3.66	2.9	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.22)	2.98 ↓ (3.05)	2.16 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guidonia Montecelio
26.5%

Draw
30.9%

Ascoli
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

30%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

29.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guidonia Montecelio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Guidonia Montecelio - Ascoli Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guidonia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stellato G. (G) 66. Vitturini D. 5. Cristini A. 2. Esempio S. 77. Zappella D. 33. Tascone S. 99. Tessiore A. 14. Santoro S. 17. Stefanelli F. 10. Spavone A. 32. Zuppel D.	1. Vitale S. (G) 23. Alagna M. 30. Curado M. 33. Rizzo N. 17. Guiebre A. 62. Milanese T. 4. Damiani S. 80. Corradini G. 6. Ndoj E. 35. Gori G. 15. D'Uffizi S.
Substitutes
18. Calzone S. 8. Errico A. 20. Falleni A. 80. Franchini S. 11. Marchioro R. 21. Mastrantonio V. 12. Mazzi G. (G) 24. Russo L. 7. Sannipoli D. 4. Toma R.	24. Bando A. 46. Barosi D. (G) 41. Brzan R. (G) 9. Chakir M. A. 18. Corazza S. 27. Cozzoli F. 19. Menna D. 2. Pagliai G. 29. Palazzino F. 25. Rizzo Pinna A. 7. Silipo A. 60. Zagari R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Curado M. ↓, Menna D. ↑,
19', Guiebre A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Santoro S. 🟨,
63', Milanese T. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
63', Ndoj E. ↓, Rizzo Pinna A. ↑,
68', Tascone S. 🟨,
68', Rizzo N. 🟨,
73', Chakir M. A. 🟨,
73', Spavone A. ↓, Sannipoli D. ↑,
77', Tascone S. ↓, Mastrantonio V. ↑,
81', Zuppel D. 🟨,
88', Tessiore A. ↓, Franchini S. ↑,
88', Stefanelli F. ↓, Errico A. ↑,
89', D'Uffizi S. ↓, Silipo A. ↑,
90+9', Esempio S. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ascoli might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC
Italian Serie C Group B
07.12.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Ternana - Guidonia Montecelio	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Vis Pesaro - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Pontedera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWTLW
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
08.12.25	Ascoli - Forlì	3:0 ✺
01.12.25	Vis Pesaro - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Ascoli - Arezzo	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Rimini - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Ascoli - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTLWT

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