Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 15

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Ascoli		Arezzo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.68	2.98	2.68
	2.54	3.04	2.82	Watch
	2.74	2.99	2.71	Watch
	2.75	2.83	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.54)	2.96 ↓ (3.04)	2.74 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
34.7%

Draw
31.4%

Arezzo
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

30.5%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

31.4%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Ascoli - Arezzo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitale S. (G) 23. Alagna M. 30. Curado M. 33. Rizzo N. 2. Pagliai G. 62. Milanese T. 4. Damiani S. 7. Silipo A. 25. Rizzo Pinna A. 15. D'Uffizi S. 35. Gori G.	22. Venturi G. (G) 26. De Col F. 13. Gilli M. 19. Chiosa M. 37. Righetti S. 24. Chierico L. 7. Guccione F. 11. Varela Djamanca M. 10. Pattarello E. 21. Tavernelli C. 71. Cianci P.
Substitutes
24. Bando A. 46. Barosi D. (G) 41. Brzan R. (G) 9. Chakir M. A. 80. Corradini G. 27. Cozzoli F. 17. Guiebre A. 19. Menna D. 6. Ndoj E. 11. Oviszach E. 29. Palazzino F. 60. Zagari R.	23. Arena M. 8. Eklu S. M. 83. Ferrara G. 12. Galli A. (G) 15. Gigli N. 14. Meli M. 45. Perrotta F. 91. Ravasio M. 3. Tito F. 1. Trombini L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Silipo A. 🟨,
36', Guccione F. 🟨,
43', Rizzo N. 🟨,
45+1', Cianci P. 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', Righetti S. 🟨,
66', Guccione F. ↓, Eklu S. M. ↑,
70', Cianci P. ↓, Ravasio M. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Pattarello E. ⚽,
76', Pagliai G. ↓, Guiebre A. ↑,
76', Milanese T. ↓, Ndoj E. ↑,
78', Varela Djamanca M. ↓, Gigli N. ↑,
78', Pattarello E. ↓, Tito F. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Chierico L. ⚽,
85', D'Uffizi S. ↓, Oviszach E. ↑,
85', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
89', Chakir M. A. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

In recent matches, Ascoli has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arezzo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ascoli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Ascoli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Ascoli - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.55%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
15.11.25	Rimini - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Ascoli - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Ravenna - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Sambenedettese - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
26.10.25	Ascoli - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTLLW
- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
14.11.25	Arezzo - Bra	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Perugia - Arezzo	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Arezzo - Campobasso	5:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Arezzo - Sassari Torres	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.25	Ternana - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
15.03.25	Ascoli - Arezzo	1:0
03.11.24	Arezzo - Ascoli	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
18.08.24	Arezzo - Ascoli	2:1

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