Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 18

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Nuovo Romagnoli (Campobasso)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Campobasso		Perugia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3	3.05
	2.31	2.97	3.36
	2.27	2.99	3.21	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3
	2.27	2.88	3.2	Watch
	2.36	2.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.11)	2.92 ↓ (3.43)	3.17 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Campobasso
39.8%

Draw
31.3%

Perugia
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

26.8%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

26.3%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Campobasso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Campobasso - Perugia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tantalocchi E. (G) 2. Papini F. 79. Lancini E. 4. Celesia C. 18. Pierno R. 10. Gala A. 6. Brunet J. 5. Gargiulo M. 20. Martina A. 14. Bifulco A. 7. Padula C.	1. Gemello L. (G) 98. Giraudo F. 28. Riccardi D. 5. Angella G. 31. Tozzuolo A. 6. Giunti G. 24. Torrasi E. 32. Megelaitis L. 20. Tumbarello G. 77. Manzari G. 9. Montevago D.
Substitutes
13. Armini N. 8. Cerretelli F. 27. Cristallo C. 32. Di Livio L. 3. Lanza M. 26. Leonetti V. 9. Magnaghi S. 11. Nocerino L. 75. Parisi F. 96. Ravaglioli T. 12. Rizzo M. (G) 36. Serra A. . Stracqualursi G.	11. Bacchin L. 16. Bartolomei P. 26. Calapai L. 15. Dell'Orco C. 30. Giardino C. 4. Joselito 10. Matos 12. Moro L. (G) 18. Perugini M. 55. Strappini S. (G) 17. Terrnava D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Bifulco A. ⚽,
25', Montevago D. 🟨,
30', Torrasi E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Torrasi E. ↓, Bartolomei P. ↑,
46', Tumbarello G. ↓, Bacchin L. ↑,
67', Celesia C. 🟨,
72', Pierno R. ↓, Cristallo C. ↑,
72', Gala A. ↓, Di Livio L. ↑,
72', Bartolomei P. ↓, Giardino C. ↑,
82', Giraudo F. 🟨,
85', Bifulco A. ↓, Serra A. ↑,
85', Padula C. ↓, Magnaghi S. ↑,
86', Papini F. ↓, Armini N. ↑,
90+1', Tozzuolo A. ↓, Matos ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Campobasso could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Campobasso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Campobasso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Campobasso - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.6%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Perugia - the odds 3.11 are the expected chance of winning is 29.58%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Campobasso
Italian Serie C Group B
06.12.25	Bra - Campobasso	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Campobasso - Pianese	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
14.11.25	Forlì - Campobasso	2:3 ✺
07.11.25	Campobasso - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LTTWT
- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
07.12.25	Perugia - Ternana	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Juventus U23 - Perugia	1:0 ✺
24.11.25	Perugia - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Sassari Torres - Perugia	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Perugia - Arezzo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
23.04.25	Campobasso - Perugia	2:1
09.12.24	Perugia - Campobasso	2:1

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