The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Campobasso 42.1%
Draw 28.6%
Perugia 29.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.6%
28.6%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.3%
28.2%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Campobasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Campobasso - Perugia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Spurio A. (G) 18. Pierno R. 2. Papini F. 95. Corbo G. 4. Celesia C. 8. Di Vico R. 34. Agazzi D. 14. Bifulco A. (C) 10. Stoppa M. 11. Carfora L. 92. Galeandro A.
1. Zelezny R. (G) 14. Quirini E. 28. Riccardi D. (C) 4. Tozzuolo A. 11. Borsoi M. 77. Kabashi E. 33. Langella C. 20. Carriero G. 10. Canotto L. 7. Cisco A. 30. van Amersfoort P.
Substitutes
22. Apsits R. (G) 77. Aragona C. 19. Blasi L. 30. Coccia L. 7. Isaac Prado 70. Leonardi S. 28. Maisto F. 99. Muzi C. (G) 23. Pellitteri A. 31. Salines E.
6. Angeli M. 39. Cavallini G. 31. Conti G. 72. Cortesi M. 19. Dottori C. 8. Ladinetti R. 12. Moro L. (G) 29. Renault G. 9. Sabbatani A. 26. Seha S. 55. Strappini S. (G)
Coaches
Mangia D.
Diana A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Papini F. ↓, Salines E. ↑,
15', Kabashi E. 🟨,
22', Salines E. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Canotto L. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Stoppa M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Kabashi E. ↓, Ladinetti R. ↑,
46', van Amersfoort P. ↓, Sabbatani A. ↑,
55', 1 - 2, Tozzuolo A. ⚽,
61', Salines E. 🟨,
64', Galeandro A. ↓, Isaac Prado ↑,
65', Bifulco A. ↓, Coccia L. ↑,
65', Canotto L. ↓, Cortesi M. ↑,
74', Agazzi D. 🟨,
74', Agazzi D. ↓, Pellitteri A. ↑,
74', Stoppa M. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
76', 1 - 3, Langella C. ⚽, Carriero G. (A),
81', Carriero G. ↓, Renault G. ↑,
81', Cisco A. ↓, Dottori C. ↑,
90', 1 - 4, Dottori C. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 5, Sabbatani A. ⚽,
90+6', Pellitteri A. 🟨,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals) and 8th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals)).
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Perugia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Campobasso has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:3 (averaging 1.3:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Campobasso against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Perugia
11
5
1
5
15:17
-2
16
12
Campobasso
11
4
3
4
16:20
-4
15
Last Results with these Odds
Perugia - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.85%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.