The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ascoli 40.5%
Draw 28.8%
Pescara 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.4%
29.1%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.1%
28.9%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ascoli's performance.
Pescara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pescara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ascoli that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pescara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ascoli - Pescara Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Livieri A. (G) 6. Adjapong C. 19. Menna D. 28. Gagliolo R. 27. Cozzoli F. 5. Bertini M. 8. Varone I. 10. Marsura D. 32. Tremolada L. 11. Tirelli M. 18. Corazza S.
22. Plizzari A. (G) 77. Pierozzi E. 13. Brosco R. (C) 23. Pellacani F. 16. Crialese C. 14. Valzania L. 6. Squizzato N. 8. Dagasso M. 20. Bentivegna A. 9. Vergani E. 11. Cangiano G.
Substitutes
22. Abati L. (G) 70. Achik I. 23. Alagna M. 24. Bando A. 77. Caccavo L. 21. Campagna S. 15. D'Uffizi S. 87. Gagliardi M. 25. Maiga Silvestri Y. 3. Maurizii E. 13. Piermarini M. 14. Quaranta D. 7. Silipo A.
40. Arena A. 28. De Marco A. 21. Ferraris A. 3. Giannini D. 7. Meazzi L. 10. Merola D. 27. Moruzzi B. 33. Mule E. 12. Profeta N. (G) 30. Saccomanni G. 1. Saio I. (G) 25. Staver C. 15. Tonin R. 17. Tunjov G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Menna D. 🟨,
18', Brosco R. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Vergani E. ⚽,
32', Squizzato N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Crialese C. ↓, Moruzzi B. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Corazza S. ⚽,
57', 1 - 2, Bentivegna A. ⚽,
58', Squizzato N. ↓, De Marco A. ↑,
64', Bertini M. 🟨,
66', Adjapong C. ↓, Alagna M. ↑,
67', Tirelli M. ↓, D'Uffizi S. ↑,
67', Cangiano G. ↓, Ferraris A. ↑,
71', Bentivegna A. ↓, Merola D. ↑,
71', Gagliolo R. ↓, Quaranta D. ↑,
80', Tremolada L. ↓, Caccavo L. ↑,
80', Varone I. ↓, Campagna S. ↑,
90', Caccavo L. 🟥,
90+2', De Marco A. 🟨,
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 2.
Ascoli is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Pescara is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:14 (average 1.5:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.5:1.2).
Italy
World
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Livieri A. (G) 
Gagliolo R. 
Achik I. 
Arena A. 
Staver C. 
Tunjov G. 
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