Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 5

Date: 23 September 2024, Monday

Location: Stadio Adriatico - Giovanni Cornacchia (Pescara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, RAI Sport, RAI Sport+, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Calcio
World	FIFA+ app


	Pescara		Perugia

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	3.8
	1.75	3.6	4.33
	1.74	3.74	4.51
	1.71	3.77	4.63	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4
	1.69	3.7	4.26	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.94)	3.64 ↑ (3.38)	4.27 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pescara
53.2%

Draw
25.2%

Perugia
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

27%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

26.1%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pescara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pescara's performance.

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pescara - Perugia Predictions

Users Predictions: Pescara will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Plizzari A. (G) 77. Pierozzi E. 13. Brosco R. (C) 23. Pellacani F. 16. Crialese C. 14. Valzania L. 6. Squizzato N. 8. Dagasso M. 21. Ferraris A. 11. Cangiano G. 9. Vergani E.	1. Gemello L. (G) 94. Mezzoni F. 5. Angella G. (C) 98. Giraudo F. 17. Cisco A. 16. Bartolomei P. 24. Torrasi E. 23. Lisi F. 18. Di Maggio L. 7. Bacchin L. 73. Polizzi M.
Substitutes
40. Arena A. 20. Bentivegna A. 28. De Marco A. 3. Giannini D. 26. Lonardi L. 7. Meazzi L. 10. Merola D. 27. Moruzzi B. 33. Mule E. 22. Profeta N. (G) 30. Saccomanni G. 1. Saio I. (G) 25. Staver C. 15. Tonin R. 17. Tunjov G.	22. Albertoni M. (G) 13. Amoran P. 14. Barberini R. 6. Giunti G. 83. Lickunas A. 10. Matos 19. Palsson A. 67. Plaia M. 20. Ricci F. 91. Souare M. 2. Viti M. 12. Yimga D. R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Ferraris A. 🟨,
21', Pierozzi E. 🟨,
29', Bartolomei P. 🟨,
44', Polizzi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pellacani F. ↓, Mule E. ↑,
53', Squizzato N. ↓, Lonardi L. ↑,
53', Ferraris A. ↓, Meazzi L. ↑,
65', Mezzoni F. 🟨,
66', Polizzi M. ↓, Matos ↑,
69', Cangiano G. ↓, Merola D. ↑,
78', Vergani E. ↓, Tonin R. ↑,
80', Di Maggio L. ↓, Giunti G. ↑,
80', Lisi F. ↓, Souare M. ↑,
85', Valzania L. 🟨,
89', Giunti G. 🟨,
90', Bacchin L. ↓, Ricci F. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pescara won 2.

Pescara is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Perugia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pescara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pescara is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Pescara won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Pescara won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pescara
Italian Serie C Group B
16.09.24	Pescara - Pianese	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Rimini - Pescara	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Pescara - Sassari Torres	2:2 ✺
23.08.24	Ternana - Pescara	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
11.08.24	Pescara - Pineto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWTWL
- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
15.09.24	Perugia - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Carpi - Perugia	2:0 ✺
30.08.24	Perugia - SPAL	3:0 ✺
24.08.24	Pianese - Perugia	3:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
18.08.24	Pineto - Perugia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
15.01.24	Pescara - Perugia	0:1
10.09.23	Perugia - Pescara	1:1
Italian Serie B
14.08.20	Perugia - Pescara	2:2 penalties
10.08.20	Pescara - Perugia	2:1
10.07.20	Pescara - Perugia	2:2
01.12.19	Perugia - Pescara	3:1
12.04.19	Pescara - Perugia	1:1

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