Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Uruguay de Coronado		Pitbulls

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.25	2.45
	2.35	3.25	2.45	Watch
	2.51	3.41	2.40
	2.6	3.43	2.54	Watch
	2.45	3.35	2.35
	2.67	3.62	2.32	Watch
	2.50	3.35	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.38)	3.38 ↑ (3.2)	2.41 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uruguay de Coronado
36%

Draw
26.6%

Pitbulls
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

27.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

27.9%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay de Coronado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Pitbulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay de Coronado than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pitbulls than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Uruguay de Coronado - Pitbulls Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Anderson D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 2 - 0, ⚽,
60', 2 - 1, ⚽,
74', 🟥,
78', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting the league leader (ranked 7th and 1st in the Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).

Uruguay de Coronado has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Pitbulls is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Pitbulls may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Uruguay de Coronado has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:7 (averaging 0.6:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Uruguay de Coronado against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Uruguay de Coronado - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 36.99%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay de Coronado
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
28.09.26	Cariari Pococí - Uruguay de Coronado	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Carmelita - Uruguay de Coronado	6:0 ✺
12.09.26	Uruguay de Coronado - Aserrí	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Guadalupe - Uruguay de Coronado	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Uruguay de Coronado - Moravia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TLLWW
- Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
27.09.26	Guadalupe - Pitbulls	2:2 ✺
24.09.26	Cariari Pococí - Pitbulls	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Pitbulls - Cariari Pococí	1:0 ✺
14.09.26	Pitbulls - Moravia	3:2 ✺
07.09.26	Carmelita - Pitbulls	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
17.08.26	Pitbulls - Uruguay de Coronado	2:1
06.04.26	Pitbulls - Uruguay de Coronado	3:1
21.02.26	Uruguay de Coronado - Pitbulls	0:2
09.11.25	Uruguay de Coronado - Pitbulls	1:0
21.09.25	Pitbulls - Uruguay de Coronado	0:0

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