Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 41

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Ashton United		Mickleover Sports

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.6	5.5
	1.36	4.8	6.4
	1.44	5.4	5.14
	1.42	5.12	6.05	Watch
	1.36	4.75	6.25
	1.33	4.65	7.55
	1.36	4.8	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.34)	4.87 ↓ (5.34)	6.18 ↓ (6.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ashton United
66.4%

Draw
18.8%

Mickleover Sports
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

17.2%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

17.7%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Mickleover Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mickleover Sports than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Ashton United - Mickleover Sports Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Adebambo G. 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Gilchrist J. ⚽,
79', 2 - 0, Osei D. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Mickleover is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ashton won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Ashton is certain favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Ashton won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24:17 (average 2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Ashton won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:7 (average 1.7:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
19.04.25	Bamber Bridge - Ashton United	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Ashton United - Gainsborough Trinity	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Basford United - Ashton United	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Ashton United - Hebburn Town	5:1 ✺
22.03.25	Leek Town - Ashton United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWL
- Mickleover Sports
English NPL Premier Division
18.04.25	Mickleover Sports - Leek Town	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Hebburn Town - Mickleover Sports	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Mickleover Sports - United of Manchester	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Workington - Mickleover Sports	3:0 ✺
22.03.25	Mickleover Sports - Whitby Town	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
28.01.25	Mickleover Sports - Ashton United	1:3
18.12.21	Ashton United - Mickleover Sports	3:0
21.08.21	Mickleover Sports - Ashton United	2:1
17.10.20	Ashton United - Mickleover Sports	0:3
10.03.20	Ashton United - Mickleover Sports	3:1
14.09.19	Mickleover Sports - Ashton United	0:1
31.03.18	Ashton United - Mickleover Sports	1:1

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