Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 40

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday


	Mickleover Sports		Leek Town

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.55	2.24
	2.78	3.76	2.24
	2.77	3.74	2.29	Watch
	2.74	3.6	2.19
	2.7	3.55	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (3.03)	3.64 ↓ (4.23)	2.24 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mickleover Sports
33.6%

Draw
25.3%

Leek Town
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

21.6%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

21.2%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mickleover Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Leek Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leek Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mickleover Sports than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leek Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mickleover Sports - Leek Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Leek (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Dales A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Mickleover is Relegated to

Recent matches Mickleover is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leek is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Leek have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Mickleover won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mickleover Sports
English NPL Premier Division
12.04.25	Hebburn Town - Mickleover Sports	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Mickleover Sports - United of Manchester	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Workington - Mickleover Sports	3:0 ✺
22.03.25	Mickleover Sports - Whitby Town	4:3 ✺
15.03.25	Guiseley - Mickleover Sports	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TTLWL
- Leek Town
English NPL Premier Division
12.04.25	Leek Town - Workington	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Leek Town - Bamber Bridge	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Morpeth Town - Leek Town	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Leek Town - Ashton United	3:1 ✺
08.03.25	Leek Town - Morpeth Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Leek Town - Mickleover Sports	0:1
English NPL Premier Division
20.08.24	Leek Town - Mickleover Sports	1:3
English FA Cup
04.09.21	Leek Town - Mickleover Sports	0:2
22.09.20	Leek Town - Mickleover Sports	1:2

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