The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Basford United 23.6%
Draw 24.2%
Ashton United 52.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.3%
24.5%
49.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.5%
23.7%
50.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Ashton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Basford United - Ashton United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Newton S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Thornhill M. ⚽,
76', James R. 🟥,
90', 1 - 2, White L. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Basford won 0.
Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
Ashton will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Basford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:12 (average 1.2:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Basford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Ashton United - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.18%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.