Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 13

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Sodertalje Fotbollsarena (Södertälje)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Assyriska Föreningen		Karlstad

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.75	3.55	1.77
	3.45	3.60	1.72
	4.18	3.99	1.72	Watch
	3.90	3.40	1.73
	4.07	3.68	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (3.27)	3.64 ↑ (3.48)	1.73 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Assyriska Föreningen
23.3%

Draw
24.7%

Karlstad
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

26.1%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

25.5%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Assyriska Föreningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Karlstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karlstad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Assyriska Föreningen than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlstad than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Assyriska Föreningen - Karlstad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Osayi K. (G) 23. Asberg V. 22. Haddad M. (C) 10. Jarret-Marston K. 6. Kalabane A. 18. Larrain M. 17. Nnamani S. 8. Nordeman A. 2. Sjoblom E. 3. Tahwildaran L. 14. Widerberg V.	1. Karlsson M. (G) 2. Beko S. 7. Bellman H. 11. Bengtsson J. 9. Carstrom J. 21. Gustafsson K. 14. Hook I. 12. Miguel W. 19. Nilsson King E. (C) 18. Tagoe B. 6. Zurmati S.
Substitutes
7. Aaltonen F. 11. Duranic A. 25. Haddad G. 13. Jacob A. 24. Jacob A. 5. Karlsson A. 21. Ronnelow L. (G)	26. Alfonsi D. 10. Alvers O. 28. Djerlek A. 13. Henareh D. (G) 17. Jatta N. 22. Kack Ofordu K. 24. Nfansu D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, ⚽,
35', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Assyriska FF won 1.

Assyriska FF is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Karlstad is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Karlstad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Karlstad is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Assyriska FF won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Assyriska FF won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Karlstad	25	11	8	6	37:25	12	41
8	Assyriska FF	25	9	5	11	43:45	-2	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Assyriska Föreningen
Swedish Division 1 Norra
14.06.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Assyriska Föreningen	1:0 ✺
07.06.26	Arlanda - Assyriska Föreningen	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Enköping	4:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
28.05.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Vasalund	0:1 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
23.05.26	Stocksund - Assyriska Föreningen	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLT
- IF Karlstad
Swedish Division 1 Norra
13.06.26	Karlstad - Gefle	2:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
10.06.26	Eker Örebro - Karlstad	0:3 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
05.06.26	FBK Karlstad - Karlstad	2:3 ✺
30.05.26	Karlstad - Sollentuna	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	Umeå - Karlstad	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
07.09.25	Assyriska Föreningen - Karlstad	2:0
05.04.25	Karlstad - Assyriska Föreningen	1:1
19.10.24	Assyriska Föreningen - Karlstad	0:3
16.06.24	Karlstad - Assyriska Föreningen	2:2
28.08.21	Karlstad - Assyriska Föreningen	4:0
18.04.21	Assyriska Föreningen - Karlstad	1:3

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