Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 25

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Skytteholms IP (Solna)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Vasalund		Arlanda

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.35	2.55
	2.53	3.5	2.62
	2.5	3.5	2.6	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.55
	2.4	3.98	2.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.2)	3.49 ↑ (3.45)	2.58 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasalund
37.6%

Draw
26.6%

Arlanda
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

25.8%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

27.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasalund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Arlanda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasalund than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasalund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arlanda than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Vasalund - Arlanda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olafsson S. (G) 21. Bajrovic M. (C) 24. Bilgec B. 3. Bjorklund K. 2. Kallman L. 6. Lundvall L. 9. Mac Callum E. 28. Ostergren M. 14. Sliwo C. 5. Soelberg P. 12. Torppa E.	1. Smedberg Lagh A. (G) 15. Antholm I. 22. Butros M. 16. Drugge J. 3. Fredricson H. 27. Johansson E. 21. Kleist L. 2. Norberg C. 7. Rehman S. 19. Rydz S. 8. Yemane Y. (C)
Substitutes
18. Birgoth N. 37. Debesay N. 19. Dejene M. 15. Lukic F. 30. Stattin I. (G) 16. Tadayon K. 20. Vucenovic M.	11. Ahmed M. 5. Bergstedt O. 18. Carlsson J. 14. Hansen A. 30. Karo A. (G) 12. Nyman L. 24. Saeed A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Rydz S. ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Norberg C. ⚽,
25', Yemane Y. 🟨,
41', Antholm I. 🟨,
45+5', Rydz S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', Rydz S. ↓, Saeed A. ↑,
62', Bilgec B. ↓, Dejene M. ↑,
62', Mac Callum E. ↓, Lukic F. ↑,
62', Drugge J. ↓, Hansen A. ↑,
62', Rehman S. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,
66', Lundvall L. 🟨,
67', 0 - 3, Hansen A. ⚽,
69', Soelberg P. ↓, Vucenovic M. ↑,
72', 0 - 4, Ahmed M. ⚽,
76', 1 - 4, Sliwo C. ⚽,
77', Yemane Y. ↓, Nyman L. ↑,
77', Antholm I. ↓, Bergstedt O. ↑,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 12th and 4th).

Vasalund is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Arlanda has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Vasalund has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:6 (averaging 0.7:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vasalund against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arlanda	25	14	6	5	46:28	18	48
12	Vasalund	25	7	6	12	36:52	-16	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasalunds IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
27.09.26	Gefle - Vasalund	0:1 ✺
21.09.26	Vasalund - Assyriska Föreningen	1:5 ✺
17.09.26	Vasalund - Hammarby TFF	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	FBK Karlstad - Vasalund	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Vasalund - Enköping	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLTLL
- FC Arlanda
Swedish Division 1 Norra
27.09.26	Arlanda - Enköping	2:0 ✺
21.09.26	Arlanda - Hammarby TFF	4:2 ✺
16.09.26	Gefle - Arlanda	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Karlberg - Arlanda	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Arlanda - Umeå	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
03.04.26	Arlanda - Vasalund	2:1
26.10.25	Arlanda - Vasalund	4:1
27.04.25	Vasalund - Arlanda	0:0

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