Match Info

Date: 27 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Central Stadium (Taraz)

Referee: Kuchma A. (Kaz)


	Taraz		Astana

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	1.93
	3.6	3.15	1.84
	3.45	3.25	1.94
	4.22	3.45	1.88
	4.2	3.24	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.44)	3.26 ↑ (3.13)	1.88 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taraz
23.9%

Draw
27.9%

Astana
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

29.2%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

29.5%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taraz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taraz than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	11.1%	44.4%

Taraz - Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Taraz will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Astana will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Taraz: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Taraz won 1.

Recent matches Taraz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Astana is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Taraz have a series of guest games.

Recently Astana have a series of home games.

Astana will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Taraz won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 12-38.

Including matches at home between the teams Taraz won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Taraz
Kazakh Premier League
21.08.22	Tobol Kostanay - Taraz	2:2 ✺
Kazakh Cup
13.08.22	Makhtaaral - Taraz	1:1 ✺
07.08.22	Tobol Kostanay - Taraz	3:5 ✺
30.07.22	Aktobe - Taraz	1:1 ✺
22.07.22	Taraz - Aktobe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TTWTT
- FC Astana
Kazakh Premier League
21.08.22	Astana - Kyzylzhar	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
14.08.22	Shakhter Karagandy - Astana	1:7 ✺
07.08.22	Astana - Zhetysu	2:2 ✺
31.07.22	Astana - Turan Turkistan	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.07.22	Astana - Raków Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
10.04.22	Astana - Taraz	2:1
27.09.21	Astana - Taraz	3:0
08.05.21	Taraz - Astana	0:1
04.11.20	Taraz - Astana	1:0
30.08.20	Astana - Taraz	1:1
25.08.19	Astana - Taraz	5:0
28.07.19	Astana - Taraz	4:0

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