Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Astana Arena (Astana)

Referee: Kourgheli A. (Blr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport


	Astana		Zimbru Chişinău

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.5	8.5	Watch
	1.27	5.25	9
	2.1	3.4	3.25	Watch
	1.2	5.8	12.45
	1.40	4.71	6.39	Watch
	1.3	4.8	10
	1.24	6.16	13.4	Watch
	1.45	4.6	6.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (2.19)	5.03 ↑ (3.47)	8.74 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astana
69.5%

Draw
19.3%

Zimbru Chişinău
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

27.2%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Astana's performance.

Zimbru Chişinău has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zimbru Chişinău might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.9%	17%	2.1%

Astana - Zimbru Chişinău Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Astana (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Zimbru (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Astana (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Zimbru (7.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Astana will win (38 of 47 users predict this - 80.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.6% – 92.1%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Astana (votes: 17 - 70.8%). Zimbru (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Condric J. (G) 2. Bartolec K. 5. Kazukolovas K. 3. Kalaica B. 6. Vorogovskiy Y. 10. Tomasov M. (C) 45. Amanovic A. 8. Basic I. 28. Camara O. 77. Gripshi N. 9. Geoffrey C.	28. Cebotari N. (G) 35. Zolotov N. 33. Stefan M. 3. Burghiu S. (C) 29. Dosso A. 23. Paz B. 44. Ranera I. 2. Rodrigues D. 8. Sharkovskiy T. 17. Clescenco N. 9. Dahan G.
Substitutes
71. Anuarov S. 72. Basmanov S. 15. Beysebekov A. 4. Bystrov M. 81. Karimov R. 99. Karpikov D. (G) 22. Marochkin A. 74. Seysen M. (G) 18. Shomko D. 11. Tsamai D. 14. Zhaksylykov N.	12. Agachi S. (G) 18. Covali N. 45. Ebikabowei M. 19. Fratea V. 24. Gaya J. 15. Kozlovskiy D. 30. Macritchii A. 5. Matteo Amoroso 21. Radu L. 25. Shchebetun O. 11. Stina V.
Coaches
Babayan G.	Kubarev O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Dahan G. ⚽, Clescenco N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dahan G. ↓, Kozlovskiy D. ↑,
46', Clescenco N. ↓, Stina V. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Basic I. ⚽,
61', Geoffrey C. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,
74', Amanovic A. ↓, Beysebekov A. ↑,
74', Tomasov M. ↓, Zhaksylykov N. ↑,
77', Sharkovskiy T. ↓, Matteo Amoroso ↑,
84', Camara O. ↓, Tsamai D. ↑,
84', Gripshi N. ↓, Basmanov S. ↑,
86', Ranera I. ↓, Gaya J. ↑,
90+2', Paz B. ↓, Macritchii A. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Astana is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zimbru has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Zimbru has had a series of away games.

In this match, Astana is the clear favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Astana
Kazakh Premier League
18.07.25	Astana - Turan Turkistan	7:0 ✺
13.07.25	Ordabasy - Astana	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Zhetysu - Astana	0:2 ✺
29.06.25	Astana - Kyzylzhar	3:3 ✺
22.06.25	Aktobe - Astana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWTW
- Zimbru Chişinău
Moldovan Super Liga
19.07.25	Bălți - Zimbru Chişinău	1:1 ✺
13.07.25	Sparta Selemet - Zimbru Chişinău	0:6 ✺
06.07.25	Dacia Buiucani - Zimbru Chişinău	0:3 ✺
29.06.25	Petrocub-Hîncești - Zimbru Chişinău	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Milsami Orhei - Zimbru Chişinău	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWWLL

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