Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Allwyn Arena (Athens)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Australia	Stan Sport
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
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Poland	Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5


	AEK Athens		LASK Linz

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	4.5
	1.68	4.10	4.50
	1.75	4	4.55
	1.8	4.2	4.56
	1.75	3.98	4.46	Watch
	1.72	4	4.8
	1.68	4.03	4.77
	1.76	4.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.71)	4.05 ↑ (4.01)	4.58 ↓ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
55.4%

Draw
23.7%

LASK Linz
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

23.7%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

26.5%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

LASK Linz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEK Athens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LASK Linz than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	15.4%	23.1%

AEK Athens - LASK Linz Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 22 - 59.5%). LASK will win (votes: 9 - 24.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 43.7% – 75.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.52) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.55) (votes: 90%) ⭐ Best Value.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AEK Athens will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Brignoli A. (G) 12. Rota L. 2. Moukoudi H. (C) 44. Relvas F. 3. Pilio S. 14. Majer L. 27. Vitalis M. 18. Marin R. 11. Koita A. 19. Varga B. 9. Jovic L.	1. Jungwirth L. (G) 4. Mbuyamba X. 43. Tornich J. 16. Andrade A. 6. Bogarde M. 20. Molgaard Jorgensen K. P. 10. Ljubicic R. 30. Horvath S. (C) 2. Bello G. 8. Usor M. 27. Lang C.
Substitutes
16. Arriaga K. 41. Balamotis M. (G) 8. Gacinovic M. 23. Joao Mario 6. Kairinen K. 22. Lykogiannis C. 20. Mantalos P. 21. Vida D. 90. Zini 10. Zubkov O.	9. Danek K. 25. Dibango Y. 23. Elfadli D. 29. Flecker F. 3. Freckleton M. 11. Kalajdzic S. 45. Kane N. 50. Schillinger F. (G) 18. Schopf A. 33. Schutzenauer T. (G) 21. Verhaeghe M.
Coaches
Nikolic M.	Kuhbauer D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Nikolic M. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Marin R. ⚽,
40', Jovic L. 🟨,
42', Bogarde M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Ljubicic R. ↓, Schopf A. ↑,
65', Molgaard Jorgensen K. P. ↓, Flecker F. ↑,
74', Lang C. ↓, Kalajdzic S. ↑,
80', Andrade A. 🟨,
82', Jovic L. ↓, Zini ↑,
90+1', Koita A. ↓, Gacinovic M. ↑,
90+1', Majer L. ↓, Arriaga K. ↑,

Preview

AEK has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

LASK is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, AEK is the team to beat.

There will not play in AEK: Alexiou C. (Off the roster) Georgiev M. (Off the roster) Kutesa D. (Off the roster) Pierrot F. (Off the roster) Sahabo H. (Off the roster)

There will not play in LASK: Adeniran S. (Broken cheekbone) Cheikne K. (Off the roster) Harakate R. (Knee Injury) Smakaj A. (Off the roster)

We predict that AEK will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	AEK Athens	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
28	LASK	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens
Greek Super League
05.09.26	AEK Athens - Aris	5:0 ✺
Greek Cup
02.09.26	Nestos Chrysoupoli - AEK Athens	0:2 ✺
Greek Super League
30.08.26	AE Kifisia - AEK Athens	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.08.26	AEK Athens - Levski Sofia	4:0 ✺
Greek Super League
22.08.26	AEK Athens - Iraklis	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWTWW
- LASK Linz
Austrian OFB Cup
05.09.26	Deutschlandsberger - LASK Linz	1:6 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
01.09.26	Wolfsberger - LASK Linz	1:3 ✺
29.08.26	LASK Linz - Rheindorf Altach	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.08.26	LASK Linz - Celtic	5:1 AET ✺
19.08.26	Celtic - LASK Linz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWL

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