Match Info

Date: 21 October 2022, Friday

Location: Bodymoor Heath Training Ground (Birmingham)

Referee: Parsons G. (Eng)


	Aston Villa U21		Nottingham Forest U21

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.9	1.75
	2.88	4.1	1.9
	3.59	4.39	1.81
	3.54	4.1	1.77	Watch
	3.5	4.1	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (2.25)	4.12 ↓ (4.42)	1.8 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aston Villa U21
27%

Draw
22.2%

Nottingham Forest U21
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

20.3%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

18.9%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aston Villa U21's form might have worsened.

Nottingham Forest U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nottingham Forest U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa U21 than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aston Villa U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest U21 than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nottingham Forest U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Aston Villa U21 - Nottingham Forest U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Aston Villa U21 will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Nottingham U21 will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 7).

Aston Villa U21 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nottingham U21 is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aston Villa U21 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nottingham U21 will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Nottingham U21 to win the game is with odds 1.85.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa U21
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Crawley Town - Aston Villa U21	5:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
14.10.22	Aston Villa U21 - Newcastle United U21	1:2 ✺
08.10.22	Southampton U21 - Aston Villa U21	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.10.22	Portsmouth - Aston Villa U21	5:0 ✺
English Premier League 2
30.09.22	Aston Villa U21 - West Bromwich Albion U21	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Nottingham Forest U21
English Premier League 2
17.10.22	Nottingham Forest U21 - Stoke City U21	4:1 ✺
10.10.22	Derby County U21 - Nottingham Forest U21	0:1 ✺
03.10.22	Nottingham Forest U21 - Sunderland U21	1:0 ✺
16.09.22	Newcastle United U21 - Nottingham Forest U21	2:1 ✺
English Premier League Cup
06.09.22	Charlton Athletic U21 - Nottingham Forest U21	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW

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