Match Info

Date: 2 May 2022, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Aston Villa U23		Newcastle Utd U23

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.6	3.3
	1.6	4.3	3.65
	1.72	4.79	3.48
	1.68	4.3	3.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.03)	4.5 ↑ (4.03)	3.59 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aston Villa U23
54.4%

Draw
20.3%

Newcastle Utd U23
25.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.8%

22.6%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

23.3%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aston Villa U23's performance.

Newcastle Utd U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newcastle Utd U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa U23 than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aston Villa U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Utd U23 than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newcastle Utd U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	18.7%	25%

Aston Villa U23 - Newcastle Utd U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Aston Villa U23 will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Newcastle U23 will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa U23: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aston Villa U23 won 3.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Aston Villa U23 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Aston Villa U23 won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Aston Villa U23 won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa U23
English Premier League 2
25.04.22	Burnley U23 - Aston Villa U23	2:1 ✺
18.04.22	Sunderland U23 - Aston Villa U23	1:3 ✺
01.04.22	Aston Villa U23 - Stoke City U23	1:4 ✺
18.03.22	Wolverhampton U23 - Aston Villa U23	3:0 ✺
11.03.22	Aston Villa U23 - Southampton U23	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLT
- Newcastle United U23
English Premier League 2
25.04.22	Newcastle Utd U23 - Southampton U23	2:4 ✺
18.04.22	Wolverhampton U23 - Newcastle Utd U23	4:2 ✺
08.04.22	Burnley U23 - Newcastle Utd U23	5:1 ✺
01.04.22	Middlesbrough U23 - Newcastle Utd U23	4:2 ✺
28.03.22	Newcastle Utd U23 - West Bromwich Albion U23	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
31.01.22	Newcastle Utd U23 - Aston Villa U23	2:0
07.05.21	Newcastle Utd U23 - Aston Villa U23	1:2
02.05.21	Aston Villa U23 - Newcastle Utd U23	1:1
04.11.19	Aston Villa U23 - Newcastle Utd U23	3:2
11.03.19	Newcastle Utd U23 - Aston Villa U23	0:3
22.10.18	Aston Villa U23 - Newcastle Utd U23	2:5
20.04.18	Newcastle Utd U23 - Aston Villa U23	2:0

Aston Villa U23 - Newcastle Utd U23