Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 12

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Atalanta U23		Fiorenzuola

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.5	5.25
	1.62	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.59	3.66	5.94
	1.54	3.66	5.94
	1.53	3.5	5.8
	1.52	3.6	6
	1.58	3.55	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.83)	3.58 ↑ (3.1)	5.69 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta U23
58.5%

Draw
25.5%

Fiorenzuola
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

29.1%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

28.1%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atalanta U23's performance.

Fiorenzuola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fiorenzuola might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atalanta U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atalanta U23 - Fiorenzuola Predictions

Users Predictions: Atalanta U23 will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Vismara P. (G) 15. Solcia D. 26. Masi A. (C) 3. Del Lungo T. 2. Palestra M. 8. Gyabuaa M. 86. Awua T. 23. Ceresoli A. 99. Mallamo A. 20. Di Serio G. 10. Capone C.	1. Sorzi M. (G) 20. Oddi R. 4. Potop S. (C) 6. Bondioli A. 19. Sussi C. 32. Di Gesu E. 5. Nelli J. 77. Beretta R. 21. Morello M. 18. Ceravolo F. 90. Anelli N.
Substitutes
77. Avogadri L. (G) 4. Berto G. 80. Chiwisa M. 11. Cisse M. 1. Gelmi L. (G) 5. Mendicino L. 7. Muhameti E. 28. Regonesi I. 24. Roaldsoy A. 90. Rosa A.	9. Alberti T. 15. Coghetto F. 26. Cremonesi M. 10. Di Quinzio D. 2. Gentile D. 34. Grisendi F. 22. Guadagno J. (G) 66. Kenzin D. 29. Musatti M. 11. Omoregbe B. M. 14. Oneto E. 13. Seck A. 17. Silvestro A. 8. Stronati R.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Atalanta U23 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fiorenzuola is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fiorenzuola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atalanta U23 is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group A
31.10.23	Alessandria - Atalanta U23	2:0 ✺
28.10.23	Lumezzane - Atalanta U23	1:2 ✺
24.10.23	Novara - Atalanta U23	2:3 ✺
20.10.23	Atalanta U23 - Legnago Salus	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Atalanta U23 - AlbinoLeffe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWT
- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie C Group A
28.10.23	Triestina - Fiorenzuola	2:1 ✺
24.10.23	Fiorenzuola - Vicenza Virtus	3:1 ✺
20.10.23	Virtus Verona - Fiorenzuola	1:0 ✺
13.10.23	Fiorenzuola - Legnago Salus	0:4 ✺
08.10.23	Fiorenzuola - Pergolettese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLLL

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