Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 11

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Triestina		Fiorenzuola

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	6.5
	1.38	4.75	7	Watch
	1.45	3.99	7.87
	1.36	4.91	8.71
	1.4	3.9	7
	1.33	4.6	7.6
	1.38	4.5	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.58)	4.45 ↑ (3.56)	7.33 ↑ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Triestina
66.7%

Draw
20.7%

Fiorenzuola
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

25.6%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

24.3%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Triestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Triestina's performance.

Fiorenzuola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Triestina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Triestina - Fiorenzuola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matosevic K. (G) 14. Germano U. 42. Moretti L. 7. Struna Al. (C) 6. Anzolin M. 4. Vallocchia A. 28. Celeghin E. 15. Correia O. 30. D'Urso C. 10. Lescano F. 11. Adorante A.	1. Sorzi M. (G) 19. Sussi C. 4. Potop S. 6. Bondioli A. 20. Oddi R. 32. Di Gesu E. 5. Nelli J. 7. Gonzi J. 8. Stronati R. 90. Anelli N. 9. Alberti T.
Substitutes
22. Agostino G. (G) 13. Ciofani M. 16. Diakite M. (G) 8. El Azrak R. 32. Finotto M. 21. Fofana L. 5. Gunduz T. 19. Kacinari A. 3. Malomo A. 72. Pavlev D. 77. Pierobon C. 9. Redan D. 33. Rizzo N.	77. Beretta R. 18. Ceravolo F. 15. Coghetto F. 10. Di Quinzio D. 22. Guadagno J. (G) 21. Morello M. 29. Musatti M. 11. Omoregbe B. M. 24. Pirola G. 33. Roteglia S. (G) 13. Seck A. 17. Silvestro A.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Triestina is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fiorenzuola is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Triestina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Fiorenzuola have a series of home games.

In this match Triestina is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Triestina to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Triestina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Triestina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
24.10.23	Legnago Salus - Triestina	1:3 ✺
20.10.23	Triestina - Vicenza Virtus	0:0 ✺
14.10.23	Triestina - Lumezzane	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Renate - Triestina	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Virtus Verona - Triestina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTWTW
- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie C Group A
24.10.23	Fiorenzuola - Vicenza Virtus	3:1 ✺
20.10.23	Virtus Verona - Fiorenzuola	1:0 ✺
13.10.23	Fiorenzuola - Legnago Salus	0:4 ✺
08.10.23	Fiorenzuola - Pergolettese	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Fiorenzuola - Novara	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
20.02.22	Fiorenzuola - Triestina	0:1
17.10.21	Triestina - Fiorenzuola	1:0

Triestina - Fiorenzuola: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide