Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 35

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Carlo Speroni (Busto Arsizio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Pro Patria		Triestina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.88	3.1	2.38	Watch
	2.68	3.32	2.56
	2.88	3.26	2.31	Watch
	2.8	3	2.25
	2.8	3.32	2.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (3.01)	3.2 (3.2)	2.39 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Patria
32.8%

Draw
28.7%

Triestina
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

28.4%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

28.6%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Patria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Pro Patria - Triestina Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Pro Patria will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Triestina will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Sala A. (G) 70. Desogus J. 5. Di Munno A. 31. Felicioli G. 25. Ferri D. 27. Giudici L. 10. Mastroianni F. 20. Mora C. 39. Motolese M. 6. Sassaro A. 8. Schiavone A.	1. Matosevic K. (G) 14. Anzolin M. 77. Ascione S. 27. Faggioli A. 17. Jonsson K. 5. Kosijer S. 23. Silvestri T. (C) 21. Tonetto M. 9. Vertainen E. 16. Vicario J. 15. Voca I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kosijer S. ↓, Davis H. ↑,
48', Desogus J. 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Silvestri T. ⚽,
59', Di Munno A. ↓, Renelus B. ↑,
63', 🟨,
66', Giudici L. ↓, Citterio G. ↑,
66', Desogus J. ↓, Orfei A. ↑,
67', Ascione S. ↓, Pedicillo L. ↑,
75', Mastroianni F. 🟨,
79', Schiavone A. ↓, Schiro T. ↑,
79', Felicioli G. ↓, Frosali J. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Mastroianni F. ⚽,
87', Tonetto M. ↓, Gningue O. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Pro Patria is Serie C ~ Play Out

Triestina is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 1.

Pro Patria is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Triestina has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pro Patria won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Triestina - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.38%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
28.03.26	Pergolettese - Pro Patria	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Pro Patria - Lecco	1:4 ✺
15.03.26	Lumezzane - Pro Patria	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Pro Patria - Alcione	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Ospitaletto - Pro Patria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLTT
- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
28.03.26	Triestina - Virtus Verona	5:0 ✺
20.03.26	Trento - Triestina	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Triestina - Pro Vercelli	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Brescia - Triestina	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Triestina - Dolomiti Bellunesi	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
28.11.25	Triestina - Pro Patria	2:1
16.03.25	Triestina - Pro Patria	1:0
03.11.24	Pro Patria - Triestina	0:0
04.02.24	Triestina - Pro Patria	1:2
24.09.23	Pro Patria - Triestina	0:3
12.03.23	Triestina - Pro Patria	2:0
06.11.22	Pro Patria - Triestina	2:1

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