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Current Win Probability
Pro Patria 25.9%
Draw 29.8%
Trento 44.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.4%
29.6%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.4%
28.7%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pro Patria's form might have worsened.
Trento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trento's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pro Patria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trento than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trento, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pro Patria - Trento Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rovida W. (G) 20. Mora C. 26. Masi A. 39. Motolese M. 27. Giudici L. 25. Ferri D. 14. Citterio G. 5. Di Munno A. 93. Dimarco C. 10. Mastroianni F. 9. Udoh K.
22. Tommasi M. (G) 27. Triacca D. 29. Fiamozzi R. 8. Cappelletti D. 3. Meconi E. 23. Aucelli C. 14. Fossati M. 10. Giannotti P. 24. Dalmonte N. 11. Pellegrini J. 7. Capone C.
Substitutes
13. Aliata T. 15. Auci A. 80. Bagatti N. 17. Frattini A. 12. Gnonto R. (G) 7. Orfei A. 4. Reggiori P. 11. Renelus B. 8. Schiavone A. 19. Travaglini C. 6. Viti M. 22. Zamarian M. (G)
20. Benedetti G. 70. Calza G. 71. Chinetti F. 9. Ebone T. 2. Fontana D. 44. Maffei M. 31. Malinverni N. D. (G) 25. Mehic A. 12. Rubboli L. (G) 5. Sangalli M. 4. Trainotti A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Giannotti P. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Udoh K. ⚽,
38', Ferri D. 🟨,
43', Motolese M. ↓, Travaglini C. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 1 - 1, Capone C. ⚽,
59', Meconi E. ↓, Maffei M. ↑,
59', Fossati M. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Mastroianni F. ⚽,
64', Mastroianni F. 🟨,
67', 2 - 2, Giannotti P. ⚽,
69', Udoh K. 🟨,
71', Triacca D. 🟨,
75', Citterio G. ↓, Bagatti N. ↑,
75', Dalmonte N. ↓, Chinetti F. ↑,
75', Udoh K. ↓, Renelus B. ↑,
83', Capone C. ↓, Benedetti G. ↑,
83', Aucelli C. ↓, Mehic A. ↑,
84', Mora C. ↓, Reggiori P. ↑,
84', Ferri D. ↓, Schiavone A. ↑,
90+2', Dimarco C. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 0.
Pro Patria is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Trento has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Trento could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pro Patria won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Pro Patria won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
Italy
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Rovida W. (G) 
Udoh K. 
Renelus B. 
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