Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: AlbinoLeffe (Zanica)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
World	FIFA+


	AlbinoLeffe		Atalanta U23

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.6
	2.46	3.15	2.85
	2.44	3.25	3.08
	2.47	2.99	3.07	Watch
	2.46	3.1	3.1
	2.46	3.15	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.37)	3.12 ↑ (2.83)	2.93 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AlbinoLeffe
38.2%

Draw
29.9%

Atalanta U23
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

32.4%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

33.1%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AlbinoLeffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Atalanta U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

AlbinoLeffe - Atalanta U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Marietta C. (G) 33. Borghini D. (C) 4. Potop S. 30. Baroni R. 16. Gusu M. 27. Munari D. 14. Fossati M. 18. Parlati S. 2. Barba B. 10. Zoma M. A. 9. Longo S.	12. Vismara P. (G) 20. Ceresoli A. 3. Del Lungo T. 15. Obric R. 66. Bergonzi F. 10. Panada S. 8. Gyabuaa M. 33. Bernasconi L. 5. Pounga D. K. 31. Cassa F. 99. Vlahovic V.
Substitutes
19. Agostinelli M. 26. Angeloni M. 15. Astrologo A. 6. Boloca G. 1. Facchetti L. (G) 3. Giannini E. 7. Mustacchio M. 21. Ricordi T. 46. Sorrentino L. 12. Taramelli M. (G) 28. Vinzioli T. 5. Zambelli F. 8. Zanini M.	26. Alessio F. 34. Artesani N. 4. Berto G. 13. Comi P. 77. Dajcar M. (G) 9. De Nipoti T. 14. Ghislandi D. 82. Lonardo E. 6. Masi A. 37. Navarro A. 1. Pardel P. (G) 36. Riccio L. 25. Scheffer M. 2. Tornaghi P. 11. Vavassori D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Gyabuaa M. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Zoma M. A. ⚽,
33', Potop S. 🟨,
37', Obric R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Pounga D. K. ↓, De Nipoti T. ↑,
63', Baroni R. ↓, Boloca G. ↑,
67', Bergonzi F. ↓, Vavassori D. ↑,
70', Longo S. ↓, Agostinelli M. ↑,
73', Gusu M. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Vlahovic V. ⚽,
80', Barba B. ↓, Giannini E. ↑,
80', Munari D. ↓, Astrologo A. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Ceresoli A. ⚽,
88', Cassa F. ↓, Navarro A. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 3, Vavassori D. ⚽,
90+3', Vavassori D. 🟨,
90+5', Del Lungo T. ↓, Tornaghi P. ↑,
90+6', Panada S. ↓, Riccio L. ↑,

Preview

In case of a draw home team advances.

Recent performances by AlbinoLeffe have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atalanta U23 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

AlbinoLeffe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Atalanta U23 has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, AlbinoLeffe won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, AlbinoLeffe won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC AlbinoLeffe
Italian Serie C Group A
25.04.25	Virtus Verona - AlbinoLeffe	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	AlbinoLeffe - Alcione	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Lecco - AlbinoLeffe	2:1 ✺
07.04.25	AlbinoLeffe - Pro Vercelli	3:1 ✺
30.03.25	Trento - AlbinoLeffe	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLWL
- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group A
04.05.25	Trento - Atalanta U23	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Lecco - Atalanta U23	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Atalanta U23 - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:3 ✺
12.04.25	Union Clodiense - Atalanta U23	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Caldiero Terme - Atalanta U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
24.02.25	Atalanta U23 - AlbinoLeffe	1:1
12.10.24	AlbinoLeffe - Atalanta U23	2:2
13.02.24	AlbinoLeffe - Atalanta U23	0:1
07.10.23	Atalanta U23 - AlbinoLeffe	1:1

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