Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio comunale (Caravaggio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Atalanta U23		Sassari Torres

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.1	2.65
	2.47	3.1	2.85
	2.56	3.15	2.77
	2.57	3.05	2.87	Watch
	2.68	2.93	2.93
	2.47	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.39)	3.07 ↑ (2.98)	2.82 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta U23
36.8%

Draw
30.2%

Sassari Torres
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

31%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

30.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Sassari Torres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassari Torres than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atalanta U23 - Sassari Torres Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atalanta U23 will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atalanta U23 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Torres (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atalanta U23 (votes: 1 - 50%). Torres (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Vismara P. (G) 8. Gyabuaa M. 3. Del Lungo T. 20. Ceresoli A. 25. Scheffer M. 66. Bergonzi F. 10. Panada S. 33. Bernasconi L. 9. De Nipoti T. 11. Vavassori D. 99. Vlahovic V.	12. Zaccagno A. (G) 5. Dametto P. 23. Antonelli N. 3. Mercadante M. 77. Zecca G. 10. Mastinu G. 4. Brentan M. 19. Guiebre A. 9. Scotto L. 20. Fischnaller M. 32. Nanni N.
Substitutes
26. Alessio F. 34. Artesani N. 4. Berto G. 31. Cassa F. 13. Comi P. 77. Dajcar M. (G) 14. Ghislandi D. 82. Lonardo E. 6. Masi A. 37. Navarro A. 1. Pardel P. (G) 5. Pounga D. K. 36. Riccio L. 2. Tornaghi P.	80. Carboni M. 18. Casini R. 11. Diakite A. 30. Fabriani C. 24. Giorico D. 14. Idda R. 7. Liviero M. 8. Masala A. 1. Petriccione D. (G) 70. Varela Djamanca M. 27. Zambataro E. 17. Zamparo L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Vavassori D. ⚽,
28', De Nipoti T. 🟨,
31', 2 - 0, Vlahovic V. ⚽,
39', 3 - 0, Vavassori D. ⚽,
41', 4 - 0, Vavassori D. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Scotto L. ↓, Fabriani C. ↑,
46', Dametto P. ↓, Varela Djamanca M. ↑,
58', Scheffer M. 🟨,
62', De Nipoti T. ↓, Cassa F. ↑,
62', Vavassori D. ↓, Ghislandi D. ↑,
69', 5 - 0, Cassa F. ⚽,
71', Nanni N. ↓, Zamparo L. ↑,
77', Panada S. ↓, Pounga D. K. ↑,
77', Vlahovic V. ↓, Alessio F. ↑,
78', Guiebre A. ↓, Liviero M. ↑,
78', Zecca G. ↓, Zambataro E. ↑,
79', 6 - 0, Cassa F. ⚽,
81', 6 - 1, Zamparo L. ⚽,
82', Del Lungo T. ↓, Navarro A. ↑,
84', Mastinu G. 🟨,
90+4', 7 - 1, Cassa F. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Atalanta U23 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Torres's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Torres may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Atalanta U23 has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group A
07.05.25	AlbinoLeffe - Atalanta U23	1:3 ✺
04.05.25	Trento - Atalanta U23	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Lecco - Atalanta U23	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Atalanta U23 - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:3 ✺
12.04.25	Union Clodiense - Atalanta U23	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWLW
- Sassari Torres 1903
Italian Serie C Group B
27.04.25	Lucchese - Sassari Torres	3:2 ✺
23.04.25	Sassari Torres - Carpi	4:2 ✺
13.04.25	Ascoli - Sassari Torres	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Sassari Torres - SPAL	0:0 ✺
31.03.25	Virtus Entella - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWTT

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