Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 26

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Ascoli		Sassari Torres

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	3.75	5.9	Watch
	1.52	3.78	7
	1.52	3.9	5.78	Watch
	1.53	3.4	5.5
	1.57	3.76	6.01	Watch
	1.54	3.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.59)	3.72 ↓ (3.74)	6.03 ↑ (5.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ascoli
60%

Draw
24.7%

Sassari Torres
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

24.6%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

23.3%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Sassari Torres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassari Torres than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Ascoli - Sassari Torres Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ascoli (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Ascoli (1.97) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ascoli will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ascoli (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitale S. (G) 23. Alagna M. 30. Curado M. 3. Nicoletti M. 17. Guiebre A. 62. Milanese T. 4. Damiani S. 11. Oviszach E. 80. Corradini G. 15. D'Uffizi S. 35. Gori G.	12. Zaccagno A. (G) 13. Baldi M. 23. Antonelli N. 14. Idda R. 24. Giorico D. 77. Zecca G. 16. Sala M. 10. Brentan M. 27. Liviero M. 7. Di Stefano L. 99. Sorrentino D.
Substitutes
24. Bando A. 46. Barosi D. (G) 41. Brzan R. (G) 9. Chakir M. A. 18. Corazza S. 14. Galuppini F. 19. Menna D. 6. Ndoj E. 29. Palazzino F. 33. Rizzo N. 25. Rizzo Pinna A. 60. Zagari R.	25. Bonin L. 11. Diakite A. 26. Dumani S. 30. Fabriani C. 9. Luciani P. 20. Lunghi A. 22. Marano M. (G) 8. Masala A. . Mastinu G. 6. Nunziatini F. 44. Zanandrea G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', 1 - 0, Milanese T. ⚽,
28', Giorico D. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Di Stefano L. ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, Sorrentino D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Milanese T. ↓, Rizzo Pinna A. ↑,
46', Oviszach E. ↓, Galuppini F. ↑,
48', Liviero M. 🟨,
50', Gori G. (Penalty Awarded),
57', Curado M. 🟨,
63', Giorico D. ↓, Masala A. ↑,
69', Gori G. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
80', Zecca G. ↓, Mastinu G. ↑,
80', Liviero M. ↓, Nunziatini F. ↑,
80', Sorrentino D. ↓, Lunghi A. ↑,
82', Baldi M. 🟨,
86', Di Stefano L. ↓, Diakite A. ↑,
88', Alagna M. ↓, Corazza S. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Rizzo Pinna A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Ascoli is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Torres has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ascoli is a strong favorite.

We predict that Ascoli will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Ascoli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Torres	8	3	3	2	9:9	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
08.02.26	Pineto - Ascoli	1:3 ✺
30.01.26	Ascoli - Livorno	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Ascoli - Perugia	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Juventus U23 - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
09.01.26	Ascoli - Ternana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLW
- Sassari Torres 1903
Italian Serie C Group B
08.02.26	Sassari Torres - Juventus U23	0:3 ✺
01.02.26	Ternana - Sassari Torres	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Sassari Torres - Bra	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Pianese - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Sassari Torres - Campobasso	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
27.09.25	Sassari Torres - Ascoli	0:1
13.04.25	Ascoli - Sassari Torres	1:2
01.12.24	Sassari Torres - Ascoli	1:2

Upcoming Matches