Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 18

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Caravaggio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport Uno


	Atalanta U23		Sorrento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.9	4.35
	1.63	4.16	4.59
	1.62	4.1	4.41	Watch
	1.67	3.4	4.5
	1.63	3.68	4.63	Watch
	1.63	4.2	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.77)	3.91 ↑ (3.72)	4.47 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta U23
56%

Draw
23.5%

Sorrento
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

24.7%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

21.2%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atalanta U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sorrento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atalanta U23 - Sorrento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Vismara P. (G) 4. Berto G. 18. Guerini A. 6. Comi P. 25. Steffanoni F. 5. Panada S. 47. Levak S. 24. Ghislandi D. 99. Vavassori D. 10. Cortinovis A. 9. Misitano G.	1. Del Sorbo L. (G) 26. Di Somma V. 6. Fusco F. 15. Solcia D. 32. Paglino S. 8. Cuccurullo M. 4. Potenza A. 3. Crecco L. 10. Bolsius D. 11. Esposito M. 7. D'Ursi E.
Substitutes
66. Bergonzi F. 58. Bonanomi A. 11. Cassa F. 14. Cisse M. 40. Colombo M. 68. Fiogbe C. 61. Idele J. 7. Manzoni A. 19. Obric R. 2. Plaia M. 8. Pounga D. K. 21. Riccio L. 22. Sassi J. (G) 3. Simonetto F. 17. Torriani A. (G)	33. Carillo L. 46. Colombini L. 22. Harrasser S. (G) 9. Plescia V. 17. Riccardi P. 90. Sabbatani A. 29. Santini C. 5. Shaw K. 18. Tonni M. 30. Vilardi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Panada S. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Cuccurullo M. ⚽,
40', Potenza A. 🟨,
45+1', Solcia D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Potenza A. ↓, Riccardi P. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Ghislandi D. ⚽,
62', 1 - 2, D'Ursi E. ⚽,
63', Steffanoni F. ↓, Idele J. ↑,
63', Cortinovis A. ↓, Bonanomi A. ↑,
64', Bolsius D. ↓, Sabbatani A. ↑,
73', Misitano G. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
74', Ghislandi D. ↓, Simonetto F. ↑,
77', Sabbatani A. 🟨,
80', Del Sorbo L. 🟨,
88', Esposito M. ↓, Plescia V. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 15).

Atalanta U23 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sorrento's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atalanta U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Atalanta U23 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Atalanta U23 is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group C
07.12.25	Monopoli - Atalanta U23	1:1 ✺
03.12.25	Casertana - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Atalanta U23 - Siracusa	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
26.11.25	Pro Vercelli - Atalanta U23	5:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
23.11.25	Cavese - Atalanta U23	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLWLT
- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie C Group C
06.12.25	Sorrento - Potenza	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Altamura - Sorrento	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
25.11.25	Sorrento - Crotone	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
22.11.25	Sorrento - Casertana	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Crotone - Sorrento	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWLLL

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