Match Info

GREECE: Super League - Round 21

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium (Athens)

Referee: Tsiaras P. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1


	Athens Kallithea		Aris

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.35
	3.1	3.1	2.3
	3.25	2.9	2.29
	3.42	3.11	2.36
	3.32	3.07	2.28	Watch
	3.1	3	2.3
	3.24	3.25	2.3	Watch
	3.25	2.9	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (3.81)	3.04 ↓ (3.07)	2.31 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athens Kallithea
28.7%

Draw
30.8%

Aris
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

30.4%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

26.9%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athens Kallithea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athens Kallithea than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	17.6%	35.3%

Athens Kallithea - Aris Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Athens Kallithea will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Aris will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athens Kallithea: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Barragan B. (G) 2. Mejias J. 58. Pasalidis T. 77. Isimat-Mirin N. 10. Demethryus 17. Ndiaye M. 8. Matilla J. 11. Kainourgios N. 28. Valbuena M. 27. Vrakas G. 25. Loukinas G.	23. Julian (G) 33. Montoya M. 3. Fabiano 4. Velez F. 37. Mendyl H. 8. Monchu 5. Cifuentes J. 10. Fetfatzidis G. 16. Darida V. 7. Sisto P. 9. Zamora A.
Substitutes
9. Alfarela M. 24. Gelios I. (G) 18. Giani E. 14. Manthatis G. 5. McGarry J. 29. Mellado M. 3. Nikolic N. 37. Tsivelekidis G. 7. Vasilogiannis A.	18. Fattore V. 30. Jules J. 24. Kerkez M. 11. Kike Saverio 31. Kyriazis K. (G) 77. Panagidis M. 19. Quaison R. 92. Rose L. 70. Spikic D.
Coaches
Malezas S.	Ouzounidis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Barragan B. ↓, Gelios I. ↑,
22', 0 - 1, Mendyl H. ⚽, Fetfatzidis G. (A),
45', Mendyl H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Kainourgios N. 🟨,
60', Loukinas G. ↓, Alfarela M. ↑,
60', Kainourgios N. ↓, McGarry J. ↑,
64', Sisto P. ↓, Spikic D. ↑,
64', Fetfatzidis G. ↓, Kike Saverio ↑,
68', Isimat-Mirin N. 🟨,
75', Vrakas G. ↓, Mellado M. ↑,
75', Ndiaye M. ↓, Giani E. ↑,
77', Cifuentes J. 🟨,
85', Zamora A. 🟨,
85', Zamora A. ↓, Quaison R. ↑,
85', Mendyl H. ↓, Fattore V. ↑,
90+2', Darida V. ↓, Jules J. ↑,
90+4', McGarry J. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )).

Recent matches Athens Kallithea is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aris is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Athens Kallithea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Aris will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Athens Kallithea: Mughe F. R. (Red Card) Sardelis G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Aris: Diandy C. (Muscle Injury) Juankar (Illness) Mallo H. (Muscle Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Athens Kallithea won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.4:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Athens Kallithea won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athens Kallithea
Greek Super League
25.01.25	Asteras Tripolis - Athens Kallithea	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Athens Kallithea - Volos	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	AEK Athens - Athens Kallithea	2:0 ✺
04.01.25	Athens Kallithea - Lamia	2:1 ✺
22.12.24	Panathinaikos - Athens Kallithea	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWL
- Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Super League
26.01.25	Lamia - Aris	0:2 ✺
19.01.25	Aris - PAOK	0:0 ✺
11.01.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Aris	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Aris - OFI	0:2 ✺
23.12.24	Asteras Tripolis - Aris	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
20.10.24	Aris - Athens Kallithea	2:0
Greek Football League
07.03.18	Athens Kallithea - Aris	0:0
12.11.17	Aris - Athens Kallithea	2:0
09.04.17	Aris - Athens Kallithea	3:0
03.01.17	Athens Kallithea - Aris	2:0

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