Match Info

Super League - Relegation Group - Round 6

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday

Location: Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium (Athens)

Referee: Polychronis F. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	SportPlus
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Usa	SportPlus


	Athens Kallithea		Panetolikos

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.25	5.25	Watch
	1.87	3.2	4.4
	1.81	3.3	4.9
	1.86	3.24	5.07
	1.83	3.19	4.86
	1.85	3.2	4.2
	1.86	3.42	4.49	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.92)	3.26 ↓ (3.29)	4.76 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athens Kallithea
51.3%

Draw
28.9%

Panetolikos
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

28.8%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

28.7%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athens Kallithea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Panetolikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athens Kallithea than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panetolikos than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	27.8%	11.1%

Athens Kallithea - Panetolikos Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Athens Kallithea will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Panetolikos will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athens Kallithea: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Panetolikos (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Athens Kallithea will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Athens Kallithea (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Panetolikos (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Gelios I. (G) 58. Pasalidis T. 77. Isimat-Mirin N. 37. Tsivelekidis G. 23. Soiri P. 26. Mercati A. 29. Mellado M. 5. McGarry J. 10. Demethryus 9. Alfarela M. 28. Valbuena M.	13. Chaves L. (G) 5. Mladen S. 4. Pantelakis E. 49. Stajic N. 2. Bakakis M. 90. Luis M. 54. Liavas G. 6. Kontouris S. 65. Apostolopoulos A. 20. Roa A. 9. Tetteh A.
Substitutes
18. Giani E. 11. Kainourgios N. 95. Lebon K. 25. Loukinas G. 14. Manthatis G. 2. Mejias J. 21. Metaxas D. 17. Ndiaye M. 1. Pantos A. (G)	23. Agapakis G. 8. Belevonis C. 18. Bouzoukis G. 45. Galiatsos D. 33. Hoxha D. 11. Lajud Martinez D. 77. Nikolaou V. 10. Perez F. 32. Stergiakis A. (G)
Coaches
Malezas S.	Petrakis G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Pasalidis T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pasalidis T. ↓, Mejias J. ↑,
62', Kontouris S. ↓, Belevonis C. ↑,
63', Valbuena M. ↓, Loukinas G. ↑,
63', Demethryus ↓, Lebon K. ↑,
70', Roa A. ↓, Lajud Martinez D. ↑,
70', Luis M. ↓, Bouzoukis G. ↑,
70', Bakakis M. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
75', Mejias J. 🟨,
79', Tetteh A. 🟨,
79', Alfarela M. ↓, Giani E. ↑,
79', McGarry J. ↓, Manthatis G. ↑,
86', Tetteh A. ↓, Hoxha D. ↑,
88', Hoxha D. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athens Kallithea won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Athens Kallithea is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Athens Kallithea: Barragan B. (Knee Injury) Mughe F. R. (Inactive) Ndiaye M. (Inactive) Vasilogiannis A. (Inactive) Vrakas G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Panetolikos: Bakakis M. (Inactive) Lomonaco S. (Muscle Injury) Majdevac A. (Inactive) Sielis C. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Athens Kallithea won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Athens Kallithea won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:8. (average 1.3:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athens Kallithea
Greek Super League
28.04.25	Panetolikos - Athens Kallithea	0:1 ✺
23.04.25	Athens Kallithea - Levadiakos	0:3 ✺
12.04.25	Panserraikos - Athens Kallithea	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Lamia - Athens Kallithea	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Athens Kallithea - Volos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWT
- Panetolikos
Greek Super League
28.04.25	Panetolikos - Athens Kallithea	0:1 ✺
23.04.25	Panserraikos - Panetolikos	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Panetolikos - Lamia	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Volos - Panetolikos	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Panetolikos - Levadiakos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
28.04.25	Panetolikos - Athens Kallithea	0:1
16.02.25	Panetolikos - Athens Kallithea	2:0
02.11.24	Athens Kallithea - Panetolikos	1:1
Greek Cup
17.01.24	Athens Kallithea - Panetolikos	2:2
05.12.23	Panetolikos - Athens Kallithea	3:2
14.12.16	Athens Kallithea - Panetolikos	1:5

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