Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 33

Date: 16 April 2024, Tuesday


	Atherton Collieries		Macclesfield Town

	1	X	2
	8.75	6	1.22
	9	6	1.22
	7.82	7.2	1.23
	7.82	7.2	1.24
	7	5.5	1.29
	9.3	5.71	1.23
	9	6	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.38 ↑ (6.06)	6.23 ↑ (4.75)	1.24 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atherton Collieries
11%

Draw
14.7%

Macclesfield Town
74.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

19.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

18.5%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atherton Collieries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Macclesfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Macclesfield Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atherton Collieries than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macclesfield Town than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Macclesfield Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Atherton Collieries - Macclesfield Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Macclesfield will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 1, Drummond K. ⚽,
75', Thompson L. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Atherton Collieries is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Macclesfield is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Atherton Collieries could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Macclesfield is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atherton Collieries won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atherton Collieries
English NPL Premier Division
13.04.24	Atherton Collieries - Stafford Rangers	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Ilkeston - Atherton Collieries	3:0 ✺
01.04.24	Workington - Atherton Collieries	2:3 ✺
30.03.24	Atherton Collieries - Basford United	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Atherton Collieries - United of Manchester	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWLL
- Macclesfield Town
English NPL Premier Division
13.04.24	Basford United - Macclesfield Town	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
06.04.24	Gateshead - Macclesfield Town	2:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
01.04.24	Hyde United - Macclesfield Town	1:3 ✺
30.03.24	Macclesfield Town - United of Manchester	3:1 ✺
26.03.24	Ashton United - Macclesfield Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
21.11.23	Macclesfield Town - Atherton Collieries	6:0

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