Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 39

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Ilkeston		Atherton Collieries

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.8	6
	1.36	5	6
	1.39	5.73	5.61
	1.39	5.73	5.61
	1.4	4.6	5
	1.35	4.95	6.49
	1.36	5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.47)	5.12 ↑ (4.45)	5.82 ↑ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilkeston
66.5%

Draw
17.8%

Atherton Collieries
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

20.4%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

19.6%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Atherton Collieries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atherton Collieries than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Cursons T. ⚽,
70', 2 - 0, Minkley C. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 0, Hutchinson B. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ilkeston is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atherton Collieries is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atherton Collieries could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ilkeston is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ilkeston won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
01.04.24	Matlock Town - Ilkeston	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Ilkeston - Bradford Park Avenue	2:2 ✺
23.03.24	Guiseley - Ilkeston	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Ilkeston - Hyde United	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Ilkeston - Radcliffe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WTWTL
- Atherton Collieries
English NPL Premier Division
01.04.24	Workington - Atherton Collieries	2:3 ✺
30.03.24	Atherton Collieries - Basford United	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Atherton Collieries - United of Manchester	1:2 ✺
12.03.24	Bamber Bridge - Atherton Collieries	3:1 ✺
09.03.24	Morpeth Town - Atherton Collieries	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
04.11.23	Atherton Collieries - Ilkeston	2:3

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