Match Info

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday


	Workington		Atherton Collieries

	1	X	2
	1.34	5	6
	1.36	5	6
	1.36	5.62	5.98
	1.36	5.62	5.98
	1.36	4.5	6
	1.34	5.05	6.55
	1.36	5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.48)	5.11 ↑ (4.78)	6.07 ↑ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Workington
67.2%

Draw
17.8%

Atherton Collieries
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

19.3%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

14.6%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Workington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Atherton Collieries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Workington than the current prediction. (-20.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Workington that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atherton Collieries than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atherton Collieries could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Thompson D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
60', 0 - 2, Beckford E. ⚽,
71', 0 - 3, Buckley J. ⚽,
84', 1 - 3, Rigg S. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 3, Atkinson J. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Workington is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atherton Collieries has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Workington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Workington is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Workington won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Workington
English NPL Premier Division
30.03.24	Stafford Rangers - Workington	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Workington	4:2 ✺
09.03.24	Workington - Hyde United	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	United of Manchester - Workington	1:3 ✺
24.02.24	Workington - Matlock Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLWW
- Atherton Collieries
English NPL Premier Division
30.03.24	Atherton Collieries - Basford United	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Atherton Collieries - United of Manchester	1:2 ✺
12.03.24	Bamber Bridge - Atherton Collieries	3:1 ✺
09.03.24	Morpeth Town - Atherton Collieries	2:1 ✺
05.03.24	Atherton Collieries - Guiseley	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
26.12.23	Atherton Collieries - Workington	4:3
Club Friendly
10.08.19	Atherton Collieries - Workington	0:0

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