Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)

Referee: Borisov A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Athletic Bilbao B		CD Extremadura

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.30	4.00
	1.75	3.30	4.00
	1.83	3.25	3.75
	1.79	3.50	4.50
	1.93	3.39	3.91	Watch
	1.77	3.40	4.25
	1.84	3.47	4.20
	1.82	3.30	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.85)	3.36 ↓ (3.41)	4.05 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao B
50.4%

Draw
27.1%

CD Extremadura
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

26.1%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

CD Extremadura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+1%)

The ML Model estimate for CD Extremadura aligns with the current prediction.

Athletic Bilbao B - CD Extremadura Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Extremadura (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Extremadura (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Garcia S. (G) 2. Perez D. 15. Larrea B. 4. Izagirre Cestona A. 18. Belategi D. 23. Sola J. 6. Lete E. (C) 19. Oyono I. 16. Sanchez S. 11. Conde A. 20. Vizcay T.	1. Robador D. (G) 2. Bekhoucha I. 14. Espejo D. 5. Molina S. 21. Macias A. 12. Nordin M. 16. Lecic L. 6. Ballesteros Y. 23. Dieguito 10. Kike 9. Rodri
Substitutes
32. Ellakuria E. 7. Huestamendia P. 5. Monreal I. 34. Narvarte D. 17. Pecina A. 8. Perez A. 13. Santos M. (G) 27. Zarandona T.	33. Alvarez S. 22. Areosa H. 20. Burgos I. 3. Cordero C. 19. Gothler A. 7. Imanol Barce 13. Liceras A. (G) 18. Sanchez E. 17. Villar J.
Coaches
Bittor Llopis	Rocha D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Sola J. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Kike ⚽, Ballesteros Y. (A),
20', Dieguito 🟨,
22', Lecic L. 🟨,
23', 1 - 2, Dieguito ⚽, Rodri (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Sola J. 🟨,
62', Lete E. 🟨,
64', Conde A. ↓, Huestamendia P. ↑,
72', Perez D. 🟨,
72', Nordin M. ↓, Villar J. ↑,
73', Lete E. ↓, Pecina A. ↑,
73', Oyono I. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
77', 1 - 3, Rodri ⚽, Dieguito (A),
79', Espejo D. ↓, Burgos I. ↑,
79', Kike ↓, Cordero C. ↑,
80', Izagirre Cestona A. ↓, Monreal I. ↑,
81', Sola J. ↓, Ellakuria E. ↑,
81', Dieguito 🟨,
86', Rodri ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 17th in the Relegation).

Athletic Bilbao B is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Extremadura has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Athletic Bilbao B holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Athletic Bilbao B in today's match, at odds of 1.88.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ath Bilbao B	7	3	3	1	12:8	4	12
11	CD Extremadura	7	3	0	4	9:8	1	9

Last Results with these Odds

Athletic Bilbao B - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.69%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.09.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Athletic Bilbao B	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Pontevedra - Athletic Bilbao B	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Avilés	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Zamora - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WTWWT
- CD Extremadura
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.09.26	CD Extremadura - Zamora	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	CD Extremadura - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	Barakaldo - CD Extremadura	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	CD Extremadura - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	UD Logroñés - CD Extremadura	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL

Athletic Bilbao B - CD Extremadura: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide