Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 34

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday


	Athletic Bilbao B		Castellón

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	2
	3.25	3	2.05
	3.2	3	2.2
	3.65	3.12	2.12
	3.58	3.15	2.09
	3.35	3.15	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↓ (3.46)	3.07 ↑ (2.9)	2.09 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao B
26.6%

Draw
29.7%

Castellón
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

31.5%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

29.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Athletic Bilbao B - Castellón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Athletic Bilbao B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Castellón is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Castellón will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Athletic Bilbao B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.04.23	Real Unión de Irun - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1 ✺
16.04.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Numancia	0:1 ✺
09.04.23	La Nucía - Athletic Bilbao B	3:1 ✺
02.04.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Atlético Baleares - Athletic Bilbao B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWL
- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.04.23	Castellón - Barcelona B	1:1 ✺
16.04.23	Sabadell - Castellón	3:1 ✺
08.04.23	Castellón - Calahorra	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	UD Logroñés - Castellón	0:1 ✺
26.03.23	Castellón - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.09.22	Castellón - Athletic Bilbao B	2:0

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