Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 32

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	Athletic Bilbao B		Numancia

	1	X	2
	3	2.8	2.3
	2.85	2.85	2.37
	2.9	3	2.35
	2.99	3.1	2.47
	3.05	2.88	2.5
	2.95	2.9	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.75)	2.92 ↑ (2.75)	2.4 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao B
30.8%

Draw
31.2%

Numancia
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Athletic Bilbao B - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent matches Athletic Bilbao B is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Numancia is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletic Bilbao B won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Athletic Bilbao B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.04.23	La Nucía - Athletic Bilbao B	3:1 ✺
02.04.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Atlético Baleares - Athletic Bilbao B	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Sabadell	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	SD Logroñés - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLTT
- CD Numancia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.04.23	Numancia - Barcelona B	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Real Unión de Irun - Numancia	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Numancia - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Numancia - Castellón	0:0 ✺
11.03.23	Real Sociedad B - Numancia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.10.22	Numancia - Athletic Bilbao B	0:0
Club Friendly
07.08.19	Numancia - Athletic Bilbao B	2:2
05.08.17	Numancia - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
12.03.16	Numancia - Athletic Bilbao B	3:2
10.10.15	Athletic Bilbao B - Numancia	0:0

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