Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Athletic Bilbao B		Gimnástic de Tarragona

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.2	2.85	3.1
	2.31	3	3.15
	2.41	2.92	3.15
	2.36	2.96	3.07	Watch
	2.38	2.93	3.12
	2.31	3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.41)	2.95 ↓ (3.13)	3.12 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao B
39.6%

Draw
31.1%

Gimnástic de Tarragona
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

29.4%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

29%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Athletic Bilbao B - Gimnástic de Tarragona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Santos M. (G) 22. Irurita X. 4. Dunabeitia A. 3. De Luis J. 24. Louis-Jean J. 11. Olabarrieta A. 6. Rego A. 18. Canales P. 8. Gerenabarrena B. 7. Varela I. 23. Hierro A.	1. Varo A. (G) 4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 5. Dufur U. 15. Leal A. 21. Oriol J. 22. Narro V. 6. Gorostidi A. 14. Sanz O. 16. Lopez A. 11. Fernandez M. 17. Fernandez P.
Substitutes
17. Aguilar Elizalde E. 19. Azkune E. 12. Elias J. 1. Gastesi O. (G) 16. Lete E. 31. Oyono I. 10. Sanchez I. 9. Sanz I. 26. Sola J.	9. Antonin 10. Jardi J. 18. Jimenez A. 7. Jimenez N. 8. Montalvo M. 13. Rebollo D. (G) 19. Rodriguez M. 20. Tirlea A. 2. Vicens B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽,
27', Fernandez M. 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, Fernandez P. ⚽, Narro V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Irurita X. ↓, Aguilar Elizalde E. ↑,
46', Lopez A. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
50', Fernandez P. 🟨,
52', 1 - 2, Varela I. ⚽,
57', Fernandez M. ↓, Jardi J. ↑,
65', Varela I. ↓, Azkune E. ↑,
73', Fernandez P. ↓, Montalvo M. ↑,
73', Narro V. ↓, Antonin ↑,
79', Gerenabarrena B. ↓, Oyono I. ↑,
79', Gorostidi A. 🟨,
80', Domingo Ciuraneta P. 🟨,
85', De Luis J. 🟨,
85', Louis-Jean J. ↓, Sanz I. ↑,
87', 1 - 3, Gorostidi A. ⚽,
89', Dunabeitia A. 🟨,
90+3', Domingo Ciuraneta P. ↓, Tirlea A. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gimnàstic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Gimnàstic have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletic Bilbao B won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 0.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Athletic Bilbao B won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.11.24	Lugo - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Sestao - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1 ✺
11.10.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
04.10.24	Amorebieta - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LLWTW
- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.10.24	Real Unión de Irun - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Osasuna B	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Arenteiro - Gimnástic de Tarragona	4:0 ✺
06.10.24	Lugo - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.02.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Athletic Bilbao B	0:0
05.11.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0
Club Friendly
20.08.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:0
Spanish LaLiga2
20.03.16	Athletic Bilbao B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:4
17.10.15	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1

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