Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 35

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Athletic Bilbao B		Ourense CF

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.9	3
	1.88	3.2	3.6
	2.02	3.45	3.2
	2.07	3.67	3.21
	2.03	3.77	3.21	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3
	1.99	3.5	3.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.94)	3.53 ↑ (3.18)	3.2 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao B
45.7%

Draw
25.8%

Ourense CF
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

28.7%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

27.5%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ourense CF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Athletic Bilbao B - Ourense CF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Santos M. (G) 2. Irurita X. 5. Monreal I. 3. De Luis J. (C) 19. Louis-Jean J. 22. Perez A. 33. Sanchez S. 21. Garcia B. 26. Sola J. 9. Sanz I. 23. Gift E.	1. Raton A. (G) 5. Prado M. 4. Carmona F. (C) 12. Jelbat A. 2. Coto E. 21. Guerrero A. 8. Ramos J. 24. Moreno C. 11. Aranzabe A. 10. Ochoa M. 9. Sergio Benito
Substitutes
15. Alday I. 12. Barandalla M. 11. Bujan E. 31. Conde A. 4. Dunabeitia A. 27. Galindo I. (G) 6. Gibelalde M. 7. Hierro A. 17. Huestamendia P. 14. Izagirre Cestona A. 20. Korkut E. 10. Sanchez I.	7. Bouzaig A. 6. Castillo N. 20. Gueye L. 17. Hernandez R. 16. Munoz D. 14. Perez A. 23. Punzano I. 18. Rabadan D. 15. Rivas L. 13. Sanchez Vivas A. (G) 3. Sanz H. 22. Yuste A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Louis-Jean J. 🟨,
25', Ramos J. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Moreno C. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Garcia B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sanz I. ↓, Huestamendia P. ↑,
46', Louis-Jean J. ↓, Barandalla M. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Garcia B. ⚽,
52', Huestamendia P. 🟨,
59', Sergio Benito ↓, Rabadan D. ↑,
59', Moreno C. ↓, Castillo N. ↑,
59', Coto E. ↓, Sanz H. ↑,
63', Garcia B. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
69', Carmona F. 🟨,
70', Aranzabe A. ↓, Bouzaig A. ↑,
72', Sanchez S. ↓, Gibelalde M. ↑,
75', Gift E. 🟨,
83', Guerrero A. ↓, Punzano I. ↑,
85', Gift E. ↓, Hierro A. ↑,
89', Barandalla M. 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Bouzaig A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Athletic Bilbao B has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Ourense CF has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ourense CF may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Athletic Bilbao B will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Athletic Bilbao B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Athletic Bilbao B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ath Bilbao B	6	3	2	1	12:8	4	11

Last Results with these Odds

Ourense CF - the odds 3.78 are the expected chance of winning is 24.17%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.04.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
10.04.26	Cacereño - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Celta de Vigo B - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL
- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.04.26	Ourense CF - Zamora	1:2 ✺
14.04.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Ourense CF - Lugo	4:2 ✺
05.04.26	Real Avilés - Ourense CF	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Ourense CF - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
31.08.25	Ourense CF - Athletic Bilbao B	0:0
20.04.25	Ourense CF - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2
26.10.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Ourense CF	0:2

Upcoming Matches