Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Athletic Bilbao B		Pontevedra

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	4.1
	1.85	3.2	4.15
	1.9	3.31	4.21
	2.02	3.12	3.86	Watch
	1.85	3.24	4.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.74)	3.19 ↓ (3.23)	4.12 ↓ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao B
48.8%

Draw
28.9%

Pontevedra
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

28.1%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

27.2%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Bilbao B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Athletic Bilbao B - Pontevedra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gamen E. (G) 2. Irurita X. 14. Izagirre Cestona A. 28. Monreal I. 29. Nomayo W. 8. Lete E. 18. Garcia E. 11. Bujan E. 10. Sanchez I. 22. Perez A. 9. Sanz I.	12. Marqueta R. (G) 2. Eimil V. 4. Bosch M. 23. Montoro A. 24. Rodriguez T. 10. Pino Y. 16. Vidorreta A. 8. Abelenda B. 6. Ribeiro A. 7. Gonzalez A. (C) 9. Selma D.
Substitutes
30. Alboniga-Menor G. 12. Barandalla M. 31. Conde A. 5. Ebro Cortina E. 27. Galindo I. (G) 6. Gibelalde M. 23. Gift E. 7. Hierro A. 17. Huestamendia P. 19. Louis-Jean J. 26. Sola J. 20. Vizcay T.	22. Comparada Gonzalez A. 5. Conesa N. 11. Cuesta M. 20. Denia M. 3. Exposito A. 19. Garay B. 21. Hervias P. 15. Juanra 17. Macias L. 14. Resende J. 1. Sousa E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Irurita X. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Abelenda B. 🟨,
54', Vidorreta A. 🟨,
59', Selma D. ↓, Macias L. ↑,
66', Perez A. ↓, Conde A. ↑,
66', Sanz I. ↓, Hierro A. ↑,
67', Gonzalez A. ↓, Resende J. ↑,
67', Rodriguez T. ↓, Exposito A. ↑,
77', Hierro A. 🟨,
78', Resende J. 🟨,
79', Vidorreta A. ↓, Denia M. ↑,
79', Ribeiro A. ↓, Juanra ↑,
86', Nomayo W. ↓, Barandalla M. ↑,
86', Bujan E. ↓, Gift E. ↑,
90+2', Lete E. 🟨,
90+3', Lete E. ↓, Gibelalde M. ↑,

Preview

Athletic Bilbao B is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pontevedra's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Athletic Bilbao B has had a series of away games.

In this match, Athletic Bilbao B is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.09.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Talavera de la Reina - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Ourense CF - Athletic Bilbao B	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.25	Ponferradina - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	Portugalete - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTTWW
- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.09.25	Pontevedra - Tenerife	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Ponferradina - Pontevedra	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Pontevedra - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.25	Coruxo - Pontevedra	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Villalonga - Pontevedra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWTLW

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