Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 11

Date: 9 June 2025, Monday

Location: Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith (Manaus)

Referee: Correia B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Amazonas		Athletic Club

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2	3.1	3.6
	2.18	2.98	3.45
	2.13	3.23	3.6
	2.17	2.91	3.84	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.8
	2.15	3	3.81	Watch
	2.18	2.98	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.07)	3.05 ↓ (3.21)	3.64 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amazonas
43.8%

Draw
30.6%

Athletic Club
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

29.1%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

24.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amazonas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	5.9%	5.9%

Amazonas - Athletic Club Predictions

Users Predictions: Amazonas will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Amazonas will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Pedro Caracoci (G) 30. Castrillon N. 3. Jackson 6. Fabiano (C) 58. Thomas Luciano 77. Robertinho 5. Vasquez L. 2. Rafael Monteiro 7. Ramirez Kevin 9. Luan Silva 22. Zabala D.	31. Adriel (G) 2. Douglas Pele 4. Sidimar (C) 16. Alex Nascimento 84. Rodrigo Gelado 15. Martinez F. 38. Sandry 37. Amorim 77. Max 6. Yuri 23. Gustavao
Substitutes
18. Cocote 29. Fernando Neto 17. Guilherme Xavier 91. Henrique Almeida 10. Rafael Tavares 11. Torres J. 26. Vagner 20. Viera S. 57. Vitao 4. Wellington Nascimento 19. William Barbio 1. Ze Carlos (G)	27. Alason Carioca 8. Andrey 20. Caick 10. David Braga 25. Glauco (G) 1. Jefferson Luis (G) 21. Leo Dourado 43. Marcelo Ajul 18. Matheus Guilherme 17. Nathan 19. Neto Costa 52. Wesley Gasolina
Coaches
Guilherme Alves	Duarte R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Sidimar 🟨,
38', Martinez F. 🟨,
45+1', Vasquez L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Rafael Monteiro ↓, Rafael Tavares ↑,
53', Thomas Luciano ↓, Wellington Nascimento ↑,
54', Vasquez L. ↓, Fernando Neto ↑,
62', Ramirez Kevin ↓, Torres J. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Luan Silva ⚽,
68', Martinez F. ↓, David Braga ↑,
68', Sidimar ↓, Wesley Gasolina ↑,
69', Yuri ↓, Nathan ↑,
77', Luan Silva ↓, Henrique Almeida ↑,
78', Gustavao ↓, Neto Costa ↑,
78', Sandry ↓, Andrey ↑,
90+2', Fernando Neto 🟨,
90+3', Wesley Gasolina 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Amazonas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Athletic is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Athletic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Amazonas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
02.06.25	Chapecoense - Amazonas	4:0 ✺
25.05.25	Amazonas - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
19.05.25	Volta Redonda - Amazonas	1:1 ✺
12.05.25	Amazonas - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Remo - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWTTL
- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie B
31.05.25	Athletic Club - Cuiabá	0:2 ✺
24.05.25	Athletico Paranaense - Athletic Club	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Athletic Club - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:2 ✺
12.05.25	Botafogo SP - Athletic Club	0:3 ✺
06.05.25	Athletic Club - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLWL

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