Match Info

Serie B - Round 32

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)

Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN


	Goiás		Athletic Club

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.4	4.1	Watch
	2.00	3.00	3.70
	1.88	3.15	4	Watch
	1.95	3.3	4.66
	1.88	3.35	4.29
	1.87	3.2	4.55
	1.83	3.3	4.35	Watch
	1.9	3.25	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.88)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)	4.22 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
49.2%

Draw
28.7%

Athletic Club
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

28.7%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

29.5%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Goiás - Athletic Club Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Goiás will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Athletic will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Goiás: 4% – 71%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Tadeu (C) 2. Rodrigo Soares 3. Luiz Felipe 14. Lucas Ribeiro 54. Djalma Silva 97. Lourenco 5. Filipe Machado 21. Jean Carlos 10. Lucas Lima 40. Kadu 18. Cadu	1. Luan Polli (G) 3. Jhonatan Silva 4. Belezi (C) 19. Pool J. 22. Diogo Batista 16. Joao Miguel 15. Jota 10. Kauan Lindes 23. Enzo Santos 17. Kauan Rodrigues 11. Max
Substitutes
55. Baldoria 66. Danilo Cunha 11. Felipe Clemente 28. Gege 77. Halerrandrio 8. Juninho 25. Luisao 35. Luquinhas 6. Nicolas 4. Ramon Menezes 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 27. Wellington Rato	20. Aponza W. 7. Bruninho 2. Douglas Pele 5. Felipe Negrucci 13. Felipe Vieira 18. Pedro Oliveira 12. Tony (G) 21. Vera D. 14. Yago Santos
Coaches
Mozart	Alex Souza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Lucas Lima 🟨,
28', Diogo Batista 🟨,
43', Luiz Felipe 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Kadu ↓, Felipe Clemente ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Felipe Clemente ⚽, Cadu (A),
61', Jhonatan Silva ↓, Aponza W. ↑,
62', Jota ↓, Bruninho ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Joao Miguel ⚽, Kauan Rodrigues (A),
68', Kauan Lindes ↓, Felipe Negrucci ↑,
69', Jean Carlos ↓, Halerrandrio ↑,
69', Cadu ↓, Wellington Rato ↑,
69', Filipe Machado ↓, Luquinhas ↑,
74', Max ↓, Yago Santos ↑,
74', Diogo Batista ↓, Douglas Pele ↑,
74', Luiz Felipe ↓, Ramon Menezes ↑,
89', Djalma Silva 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Luquinhas ⚽, Felipe Clemente (A),

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12th and 14th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

In this matchup, Goiás is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Goiás: Ramon Menezes (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Athletic: Carlinhos (Inactive) Sidimar (Injury) Tavares R. (Injury) Zeca (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Goiás: Marcos Vinicius (Inactive).

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Goiás has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Goiás against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Goias	32	13	6	13	32:40	-8	45
14	Athletic Club	32	10	12	10	38:37	1	42

Last Results with these Odds

Athletic Club - the odds 4.3 are the expected chance of winning is 21.69%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
01.10.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Goiás	3:0 ✺
26.09.26	Goiás - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Goiás - Avaí	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Botafogo SP - Goiás	1:3 ✺
10.09.26	Vila Nova - Goiás	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWL
- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie B
01.10.26	Athletic Club - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Fortaleza - Athletic Club	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Athletic Club - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Juventude - Athletic Club	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Cuiabá - Athletic Club	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
14.06.26	Athletic Club - Goiás	1:1
11.10.25	Athletic Club - Goiás	1:1
23.06.25	Goiás - Athletic Club	1:2

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