Match Info

Gaucho - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa (Erechim)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Ypiranga		Internacional RS

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.3	1.62	Watch
	5.3	3.3	1.65	Watch
	6.17	3.4	1.62
	5.27	3.34	1.72	Watch
	5.5	3.1	1.62
	5.46	3.43	1.68	Watch
	6	3.4	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.56 ↑ (4.39)	3.32 ↑ (3.14)	1.65 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ypiranga
16.5%

Draw
27.6%

Internacional RS
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

28.7%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

27.8%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ypiranga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Ypiranga - Internacional RS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Ze Carlos (G) 2. Cleiton 22. Walce 3. Willian Gomes (C) 6. Nicolas 5. Rian 27. Dionisio 16. Lucas Ramos 23. Danielzinho 7. Felipe Ferreira 28. Gustavo Simoes	12. Anthoni (G) 35. Aguirre B. 4. Torres F. 18. Juninho 26. Bernabei A. 8. Bruno Henrique (C) 29. Thiago Maia 14. Rodriguez A. 31. Allex 17. Bruno Tabata 9. Alerrandro
Substitutes
41. Adilson Junior 20. Dudu 29. Gabriel Werner (G) 17. Henrique 79. Joao Branco 21. Lucas Fogaca 15. Mago 80. Marcelinho 10. Marlone 43. Ramon Vinicius 4. Reinaldo 9. Renan Gorne	10. Alan Patrick 19. Borre R. 15. Bruno Gomes 20. Clayton Sampaio 47. Gustavo Prado 44. Joao Victor 25. Mercado G. 46. Pedro Kaua 1. Rochet S. (G) 16. Ronaldo 5. Villagra R. 28. Vitinho
Coaches
Raul Cabral	Pezzolano P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Aguirre B. ⚽, Bruno Tabata (A),
17', Aguirre B. 🟨,
19', Allex 🟨,
36', 0 - 2, Thiago Maia ⚽, Bruno Tabata (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Thiago Maia ↓, Villagra R. ↑,
46', Aguirre B. ↓, Bruno Gomes ↑,
60', Bruno Tabata ↓, Alan Patrick ↑,
61', Lucas Ramos ↓, Renan Gorne ↑,
61', Felipe Ferreira ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
73', Dionisio ↓, Ramon Vinicius ↑,
73', Rian ↓, Adilson Junior ↑,
76', Rodriguez A. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
78', 0 - 3, Ze Carlos (Own goal),
80', Gustavo Simoes ↓, Henrique ↑,
84', Adilson Junior 🟨,
86', Bernabei A. ↓, Borre R. ↑,
88', Marcelinho 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ypiranga won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ypiranga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Internacional is seen as the favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ypiranga won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ypiranga won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
06.02.26	Caxias - Ypiranga	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Ypiranga - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	São Luiz - Ypiranga	2:2 ✺
21.01.26	Avenida - Ypiranga	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Ypiranga - Internacional RS	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WTTLW
- Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A
12.02.26	Internacional RS - Palmeiras	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
08.02.26	Internacional RS - São Luiz	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
04.02.26	Flamengo - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
31.01.26	Caxias - Internacional RS	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
28.01.26	Internacional RS - Athletico Paranaense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
18.01.26	Ypiranga - Internacional RS	2:1
27.01.24	Internacional RS - Ypiranga	3:0
02.02.23	Internacional RS - Ypiranga	3:0
05.02.22	Ypiranga - Internacional RS	3:1
14.03.21	Internacional RS - Ypiranga	4:2
01.02.20	Ypiranga - Internacional RS	0:0
22.03.17	Ypiranga - Internacional RS	1:1

Upcoming Matches