Match Info

Mineiro - Round 7

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: MRV Arena (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Teixeira A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Atlético Mineiro		Athletic Club

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.4	4.45	6.7	Watch
	1.34	4.93	8.35
	1.37	4.73	6.83	Watch
	1.36	4	6.5
	1.4	4.35	7.96	Watch
	1.33	4.75	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.41)	4.54 ↑ (4.13)	7.47 ↑ (7.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Mineiro
67.4%

Draw
20.3%

Athletic Club
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

22.3%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

21.5%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Atlético Mineiro - Athletic Club Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Everson (C) 2. Natanael 4. Ruan Tressoldi 14. Vitor Hugo 10. Gustavo Scarpa 8. Maycon 39. Cisse M. 16. Lodi R. 17. Igor Gomes 28. Cuello 19. Reinier	1. Glauco (G) 2. Zeca 3. Jhonatan Silva (C) 4. Indio G. 6. Enzo 8. Kauan Rodrigues 5. Ian Luccas 11. Ruan Assis 10. David Braga 7. Douglas Pele 9. Tavares R.
Substitutes
6. Alonso J. 11. Bernard 9. Cassierra M. 92. Dudu 21. Franco A. 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 7. Hulk 27. Minda A. 36. Pascini K. 46. Pedro Cobra (G) 23. Preciado A. 3. Roman I. 30. Victor Hugo	20. Caicedo Nestor 18. Caick 21. Carlito Thiago 13. Copete D. 14. Edson Miranda 12. Eduardo Freire (G) 22. Joao Oliveira 16. Kauan Lindes 15. Leandro Alves 17. Luiz Filipe 19. Vera D.
Coaches
Sampaoli J.	Duarte R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Lodi R. ⚽, Everson (A),
7', Zeca 🟨,
28', Enzo ↓, Vera D. ↑,
45+7', Ruan Assis 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Dudu ↑,
46', Igor Gomes ↓, Bernard ↑,
51', Douglas Pele ↓, Leandro Alves ↑,
55', Ruan Tressoldi 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Tavares R. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Reinier ↓, Victor Hugo ↑,
63', Cisse M. ↓, Hulk ↑,
72', Glauco 🟨,
72', Ruan Assis ↓, Luiz Filipe ↑,
73', David Braga ↓, Kauan Lindes ↑,
73', Ian Luccas ↓, Copete D. ↑,
89', Natanael ↓, Cassierra M. ↑,
90', Copete D. 🟨,
90+2', Cuello 🟨,
90+3', Leandro Alves 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Atlético MG is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 1:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
04.02.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
31.01.26	Pouso Alegre - Atlético Mineiro	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
28.01.26	Atlético Mineiro - Palmeiras	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
25.01.26	Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
21.01.26	América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTWT
- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
31.01.26	Athletic Club - Uberlândia	0:3 ✺
25.01.26	Athletic Club - Betim	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	Pouso Alegre - Athletic Club	3:4 ✺
17.01.26	Democrata GV - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Athletic Club - URT	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
04.02.25	Atlético Mineiro - Athletic Club	1:0
08.02.24	Athletic Club - Atlético Mineiro	0:2
18.03.23	Atlético Mineiro - Athletic Club	1:0
12.03.23	Athletic Club - Atlético Mineiro	1:0
15.02.22	Atlético Mineiro - Athletic Club	1:0
24.04.21	Athletic Club - Atlético Mineiro	0:1

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