Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Gela		ACR Messina

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.15	2.72
	2.39	3.25	2.73
	2.33	3.2	2.69
	2.4	3.14	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.35)	3.19 ↓ (3.35)	2.72 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gela
38.3%

Draw
28.4%

ACR Messina
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

26.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

26.9%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gela than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Gela - ACR Messina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 🟥,
88', 1 - 0, Tuccio V. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Gela	6	1	2	3	4:6	-2	4

Last Results with these Odds

ACR Messina - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 35.4%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Città di Gela
Italian Serie D - Group I
11.01.26	Ragusa - Gela	2:3 ✺
04.01.26	Gela - Savoia	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Gela - Gelbison Cilento	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Vibonese - Gela	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Gela - Castrumfavara	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLWW
- ACR Messina
Italian Serie D - Group I
11.01.26	ACR Messina - Sancataldese	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Athletic Palermo - ACR Messina	4:0 ✺
21.12.25	Milazzo - ACR Messina	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	ACR Messina - Igea Virtus Barcellona	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	ACR Messina - Vigor Lamezia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
03.03.19	Gela - ACR Messina	0:1
11.11.18	ACR Messina - Gela	3:0
28.01.18	Gela - ACR Messina	0:0
24.09.17	ACR Messina - Gela	1:0

Gela - ACR Messina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide