Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 20

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5


	Athletic Palermo		Sancataldese

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.7	5.35
	1.5	3.83	6.04	Watch
	1.55	3.88	5.95
	1.52	3.75	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.61)	3.79 ↑ (3.62)	5.75 ↑ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Palermo
60%

Draw
24.1%

Sancataldese
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

25.7%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

24.4%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Sancataldese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Palermo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sancataldese than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Athletic Palermo - Sancataldese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Crivello R. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Zalazar S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Athletic Palermo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Sancataldese has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Athletic Palermo is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Athletic Palermo	6	2	2	2	9:8	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Palermo
Italian Serie D - Group I
11.01.26	Vigor Lamezia - Athletic Palermo	2:3 ✺
04.01.26	Athletic Palermo - ACR Messina	4:0 ✺
21.12.25	Athletic Palermo - Ragusa	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Savoia - Athletic Palermo	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Athletic Palermo - Vibonese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWLT
- Sancataldese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
11.01.26	ACR Messina - Sancataldese	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Sancataldese - Igea Virtus Barcellona	0:3 ✺
21.12.25	Sancataldese - Savoia	3:1 ✺
14.12.25	Vigor Lamezia - Sancataldese	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Sancataldese - Ragusa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWLT

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